{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cb1c3673-10ac-4b80-8a25-2dbf3abfa758", "symbol": "688362", "name": "Forehope Electronic (Ningbo) Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.429, "architecture_energy": 22.007, "architecture_maturity": 73.452, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.23, "rotation_up": 26.15, "upward_expansion": 57.44, "deceleration": 88.33, "rotation_down": 33.09, "downward_expansion": 21.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 71.021999, 75.216544, 68.502904, 62.308408 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 68.959999, "trend_reference": 55.582333, "distance_from_trend": 0.240682, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.577949, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.116769, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 50.621927, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.46911, "excess_performance": 0.512313, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.240682, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.343217, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.116769, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.492242, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.506219, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.253175, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.46911, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.700781, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 181919292, "relative_activity": 1.491352, "balance": 3.700781, "dry_up": 1.582, "accumulation_observations": 7, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.270458, "annualized_volatility": 1.003884, "from_high_reference": -0.429139, "from_low_reference": 1.397775 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 55.582333, "fair_value_reference": 32.577949, "structural_low": 34.299999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.00227, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.018579, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.307651, "worst_return": -0.075656, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.427031, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.40437, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.966902, "worst_return": -0.11284, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.036316, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.064015, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.036316, "worst_return": 0.036316, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.134943, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.132416, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-11-07", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.100062, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.042802, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.059497, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"typical_volume": 108920356.15, "trend": 53.512333, "fair_value": 32.266218, "relative_strength": 81.935368, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.283069, "energy": 54.979244, "activity_lines": [ 84.053998, 78.803817, 67.642571, 61.073333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 58.060001, "volume": 175325619, "typical_volume": 114864677.6, "trend": 54.364, "fair_value": 32.415385, "relative_strength": 32.379969, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.232724, "energy": 30.930671, "activity_lines": [ 75.139332, 76.035272, 67.598809, 61.366731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 68.959999, "volume": 181919292, "typical_volume": 121982768.85, "trend": 55.582333, "fair_value": 32.577949, "relative_strength": 50.621927, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.428552, "energy": 22.00675, "activity_lines": [ 71.021999, 75.216544, 68.502904, 62.308408 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }