{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cb375568-0d03-44e1-94ef-48a0ab67920e", "symbol": "EASEMYTRIP", "name": "Easy Trip Planners Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.635, "architecture_energy": 61.024, "architecture_maturity": 13.639, "architecture_confidence": 89.014, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.02, "rotation_up": 10.9, "upward_expansion": 12.89, "deceleration": 38.07, "rotation_down": 71.93, "downward_expansion": 90.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.695333, 6.913636, 7.203286, 7.266753 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 6.58, "trend_reference": 7.274667, "distance_from_trend": -0.095491, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.364358, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.541922, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.613468, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.010526, "excess_performance": 0.033183, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.095491, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019939, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.541922, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054097, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.126135, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.103464, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.010526, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.160738, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 86839475, "relative_activity": 0.966821, "balance": 0.160738, "dry_up": 0.889354, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.103343, "annualized_volatility": 0.751021, "from_high_reference": -0.379245, "from_low_reference": 0.140381 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.274667, "fair_value_reference": 14.364358, "structural_low": 5.77, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.000958, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.043425, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.000958, "worst_return": 0.000958, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.028263, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.09533, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.028263, "worst_return": -0.028263, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.197126, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.256707, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.197126, "worst_return": -0.197126, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 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"2023-10-20", "end": "2023-12-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.038653, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-12-15", "end": "2024-01-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.050755, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-01-12", "end": "2024-03-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.046324, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-15", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.022676, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-05-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.051977, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.013174, "active": false }, { "regime": 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"stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.866394, "energy": 39.62524, "activity_lines": [ 7.0, 7.243818, 7.391667, 7.390129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.83, "volume": 50396515, "typical_volume": 89943911.55, "trend": 7.319333, "fair_value": 14.537999, "relative_strength": -7.584814, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -31.468778, "energy": 48.52197, "activity_lines": [ 6.886, 7.139455, 7.340476, 7.357183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.63, "volume": 91139332, "typical_volume": 89318484.85, "trend": 7.292333, "fair_value": 14.451179, "relative_strength": -11.860952, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -38.206323, "energy": 52.604774, "activity_lines": [ 6.78, 7.018364, 7.273381, 7.31271 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.58, "volume": 86839475, "typical_volume": 89819635.45, "trend": 7.274667, "fair_value": 14.364358, "relative_strength": -12.613468, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.634578, "energy": 61.023564, "activity_lines": [ 6.695333, 6.913636, 7.203286, 7.266753 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }