{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cb38edc3-aa53-404b-8440-87d1d8494b12", "symbol": "NATHBIOGEN", "name": "Nath Bio-Genes (India) Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 50.383, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 0.051, "architecture_energy": 18.081, "architecture_maturity": 33.333, "architecture_confidence": 78.012, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.65, "rotation_up": 16.08, "upward_expansion": 43.97, "deceleration": 71.71, "rotation_down": 41.0, "downward_expansion": 40.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 159.556662, 161.835633, 164.787617, 161.960429 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 157.679993, "trend_reference": 157.779333, "distance_from_trend": -0.00063, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 182.500094, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.136, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.136306, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.035121, "excess_performance": 0.07883, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.00063, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014471, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.136, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.062283, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.011363, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.067195, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.035121, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.501839, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 173262, "relative_activity": 1.122293, "balance": 0.501839, "dry_up": 0.710035, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068542, "annualized_volatility": 0.412659, "from_high_reference": -0.227059, "from_low_reference": 0.24994 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 157.779333, "fair_value_reference": 182.500094, "structural_low": 126.150002, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.028979, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.032842, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.040032, "worst_return": -0.215453, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.135647, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.149264, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.001209, "worst_return": -0.190356, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.276188, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.278857, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.108626, "worst_return": -0.299533, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.021011, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.098536, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.153575, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.008271, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.057281, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-31", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 164.759995, "volume": 34822, "typical_volume": 151197.8, "trend": 157.169667, "fair_value": 183.964397, "relative_strength": 3.85854, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.677073, "energy": 14.933649, "activity_lines": [ 165.694664, 166.939634, 165.54738, 161.431226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 160.039993, "volume": 55408, "typical_volume": 150599.5, "trend": 157.476333, "fair_value": 183.651511, "relative_strength": 0.718405, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.808677, "energy": 12.092979, "activity_lines": [ 163.876662, 165.547997, 165.505046, 161.616408 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 161.130005, "volume": 72787, "typical_volume": 149425.25, "trend": 157.623333, "fair_value": 183.3811, "relative_strength": 4.003687, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.717646, "energy": 9.641449, "activity_lines": [ 162.847332, 164.557635, 165.519047, 161.852129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 159.179993, "volume": 137010, "typical_volume": 152906.25, "trend": 157.558, "fair_value": 182.924521, "relative_strength": 0.392242, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 5.068919, "energy": 10.442243, "activity_lines": [ 161.144664, 163.208906, 165.264999, 161.952558 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 157.679993, "volume": 173262, "typical_volume": 154382.15, "trend": 157.779333, "fair_value": 182.500094, "relative_strength": -1.136306, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.050925, "energy": 18.080777, "activity_lines": [ 159.556662, 161.835633, 164.787617, 161.960429 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }