{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cb425adc-ef3e-4d97-a8bb-10ab1949e61b",
    "symbol": "DELT",
    "name": "Deltic Energy Plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 69.776,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 65.342,
    "architecture_energy": 59.742,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.07,
    "architecture_confidence": 96,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.89,
        "rotation_up": 53.04,
        "upward_expansion": 86.01,
        "deceleration": 48.05,
        "rotation_down": 24.29,
        "downward_expansion": 12.68
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.073333,
        0.071409,
        0.067438,
        0.060878
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.076,
    "trend_reference": 0.052067,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.459667,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.115905,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.344293,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 25.664326,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 1.412698,
    "excess_performance": 1.361463,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.459667,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.18423,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.344293,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.171055,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.256643,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.141979,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.412698,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.809129,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1435448,
      "relative_activity": 0.641348,
      "balance": 2.809129,
      "dry_up": 0.659587,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.135142,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.268035,
      "from_high_reference": -0.105882,
      "from_low_reference": 2.8
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.052067,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.115905,
      "structural_low": 0.02,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.006944,
        "positive_rate": 0.368421,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.368421,
        "median_excess_return": -0.022745,
        "regime_survival": 0.736842,
        "best_return": 0.289362,
        "worst_return": -0.618056,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "worst_return": -0.587302,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "worst_return": -0.698413,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.896825,
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 2535931.7,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 1454722,
        "typical_volume": 2200345.55,
        "trend": 0.049133,
        "fair_value": 0.11904,
        "relative_strength": 20.887594,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 61.442521,
        "energy": 40.845144,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.075,
        "volume": 2352277,
        "typical_volume": 2263000.7,
        "trend": 0.050583,
        "fair_value": 0.117438,
        "relative_strength": 23.981682,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.058795,
        "energy": 44.696905,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0715,
          0.070227,
          0.065755,
          0.059239
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.076,
        "volume": 1435448,
        "typical_volume": 2238172.75,
        "trend": 0.052067,
        "fair_value": 0.115905,
        "relative_strength": 25.664326,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.34213,
        "energy": 59.742029,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}