{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cb45b280-0d3d-418e-a512-6cd0fa3e99fb",
    "symbol": "QAI",
    "name": "NYLI HEDGE MULTI-STRATEGY TRACKER ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 51.025,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 45.232,
    "architecture_energy": 24.016,
    "architecture_maturity": 51.359,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.868,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.7,
        "rotation_up": 29.24,
        "upward_expansion": 54.87,
        "deceleration": 90.87,
        "rotation_down": 26.12,
        "downward_expansion": 18.53
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        36.202667,
        36.237455,
        36.134238,
        35.797168
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 36.5,
    "trend_reference": 35.361867,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.032185,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.524541,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.157828,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.497416,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.057205,
    "excess_performance": -0.06842,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.032185,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.027366,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.157828,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.015041,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054974,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018509,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.057205,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.438883,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 235931,
      "relative_activity": 0.465893,
      "balance": 2.438883,
      "dry_up": 0.483926,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.018619,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.069402,
      "from_high_reference": -0.010572,
      "from_low_reference": 0.134144
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 35.361867,
      "fair_value_reference": 31.524541,
      "structural_low": 33.6,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.008531,
        "positive_rate": 0.857143,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008143,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.054287,
        "worst_return": -0.009565,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.021203,
        "positive_rate": 0.833333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.833333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025006,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.076535,
        "worst_return": -0.048341,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.054355,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.083546,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.092411,
        "worst_return": 0.026016,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.079519,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.154916,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.111812,
        "worst_return": 0.047227,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003906,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.037419,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009163,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.012954,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.001802,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008964,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.043705,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.022462,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.023533,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.003281,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.009338,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "return": 0.012099,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014452,
        "active": true
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 521718.6,
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        "fair_value": 31.366514,
        "relative_strength": -3.489631,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 44.524124,
        "energy": 33.898437,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 280431,
        "typical_volume": 503576.3,
        "trend": 35.2052,
        "fair_value": 31.416994,
        "relative_strength": -2.803557,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.241163,
        "energy": 26.450999,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.118,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 36.08,
        "volume": 285780,
        "typical_volume": 506396.65,
        "trend": 35.2832,
        "fair_value": 31.468946,
        "relative_strength": -3.448619,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.764158,
        "energy": 20.72566,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.083333,
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          35.718665
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 36.5,
        "volume": 235931,
        "typical_volume": 506405.8,
        "trend": 35.361867,
        "fair_value": 31.524541,
        "relative_strength": -5.497416,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.231559,
        "energy": 24.015542,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}