{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cb4da91f-bfe8-45c6-95e2-0039e0185dfb", "symbol": "603180", "name": "GoldenHome Living Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.924, "architecture_energy": 52.628, "architecture_maturity": 84.373, "architecture_confidence": 88.532, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.6, "rotation_up": 25.01, "upward_expansion": 8.75, "deceleration": 60.53, "rotation_down": 50.99, "downward_expansion": 79.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.418667, 14.599471, 15.715161, 16.675342 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 14.76, "trend_reference": 17.937168, "distance_from_trend": -0.177128, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.127674, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.266681, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.081266, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.292086, "excess_performance": -0.248883, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.177128, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099336, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.266681, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.152775, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.220813, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087925, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.292086, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.608701, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5129388, "relative_activity": 1.085185, "balance": 0.608701, "dry_up": 1.131827, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.095261, "annualized_volatility": 0.38869, "from_high_reference": -0.385, "from_low_reference": 0.103139 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.937168, "fair_value_reference": 20.127674, "structural_low": 13.38, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.022157, "positive_rate": 0.37931, "directional_follow_through": 0.586207, "median_excess_return": -0.003411, "regime_survival": 0.758621, "best_return": 0.186778, "worst_return": -0.169634, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.031929, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.064549, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.14726, "worst_return": -0.194937, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.05425, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.028788, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.137724, "worst_return": -0.286392, "sufficient": true }, { 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"gate": "down", "direction": -68.815465, "energy": 74.936696, "activity_lines": [ 14.560451, 15.259347, 16.533042, 17.451417 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.56, "volume": 4582723, "typical_volume": 4761523.4, "trend": 18.322501, "fair_value": 20.309035, "relative_strength": -27.167102, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.058109, "energy": 67.9578, "activity_lines": [ 14.224667, 14.818962, 16.156732, 17.128073 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.67, "volume": 4840702, "typical_volume": 4782145.75, "trend": 18.124834, "fair_value": 20.223397, "relative_strength": -21.019483, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.104713, "energy": 58.973428, "activity_lines": [ 14.327333, 14.668753, 15.918661, 16.892428 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.76, "volume": 5129388, "typical_volume": 4726739.0, "trend": 17.937168, "fair_value": 20.127674, "relative_strength": -22.081266, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.923819, "energy": 52.627793, "activity_lines": [ 14.418667, 14.599471, 15.715161, 16.675342 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }