{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cb532c81-f847-4ac1-ae72-7db1b631c9f5",
    "symbol": "EDEU",
    "name": "BNP Paribas Easy Dividend Europe UCITS ETF Capitalisation",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 88.361,
    "architecture_energy": 93.395,
    "architecture_maturity": 95.913,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.574,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.69,
        "rotation_up": 82.34,
        "upward_expansion": 99.19,
        "deceleration": 39.4,
        "rotation_down": 14.13,
        "downward_expansion": 21.19
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        198.801332,
        196.352362,
        192.268381,
        188.324774
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 201.699997,
    "trend_reference": 183.544667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.098915,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 145.334019,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.387837,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.954051,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.140837,
    "excess_performance": 0.087526,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.098915,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051824,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.387837,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058045,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079541,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018886,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.140837,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.053906,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 574,
      "relative_activity": 0.723104,
      "balance": 1.053906,
      "dry_up": 0.787667,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016186,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.12712,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001979,
      "from_low_reference": 0.302298
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 183.544667,
      "fair_value_reference": 145.334019,
      "structural_low": 163.220001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 48,
        "median_return": 0.011674,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.009762,
        "regime_survival": 0.770833,
        "best_return": 0.076368,
        "worst_return": -0.105392,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": 0.022086,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.031115,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.132279,
        "worst_return": -0.059673,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 9,
        "median_return": 0.077308,
        "positive_rate": 0.888889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.035789,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
        "best_return": 0.1463,
        "worst_return": -0.157619,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.124521,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.095365,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.288747,
        "worst_return": -0.118407,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2023-04-28",
        "end": "2023-06-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.008379,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-07-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.004035,
        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.045289,
        "active": false
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        "relative_strength": 9.521961,
        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "trend": 173.606001,
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        "relative_strength": 12.042697,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 1181.45,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 175.343334,
        "fair_value": 140.438378,
        "relative_strength": 8.743301,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "trend": 176.252001,
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        "relative_strength": 9.475052,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": 8.180789,
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        "energy": 83.427689,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 935.0,
        "trend": 179.003333,
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        "relative_strength": 8.277661,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 1736,
        "typical_volume": 955.5,
        "trend": 179.903334,
        "fair_value": 143.130301,
        "relative_strength": 9.928308,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.074608,
        "energy": 87.592874,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 195.880005,
        "volume": 365,
        "typical_volume": 875.6,
        "trend": 180.794667,
        "fair_value": 143.663891,
        "relative_strength": 10.535438,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.278661,
        "energy": 90.472286,
        "activity_lines": [
          194.129333,
          192.272727,
          188.220477,
          184.922925
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 196.860001,
        "volume": 350,
        "typical_volume": 785.4,
        "trend": 181.688,
        "fair_value": 144.19107,
        "relative_strength": 10.291255,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.963696,
        "energy": 89.672737,
        "activity_lines": [
          195.346668,
          193.410909,
          189.463239,
          185.959398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 199.259995,
        "volume": 1212,
        "typical_volume": 812.5,
        "trend": 182.608667,
        "fair_value": 144.75325,
        "relative_strength": 9.508982,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.344004,
        "energy": 88.23921,
        "activity_lines": [
          196.942666,
          194.751999,
          190.814857,
          187.093076
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 201.699997,
        "volume": 574,
        "typical_volume": 793.8,
        "trend": 183.544667,
        "fair_value": 145.334019,
        "relative_strength": 7.954051,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 88.360632,
        "energy": 93.395096,
        "activity_lines": [
          198.801332,
          196.352362,
          192.268381,
          188.324774
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}