{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cb623ae2-e0a7-44d5-807c-811face2f1e9", "symbol": "GGP", "name": "Greatland Resources Limited", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 52.056, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.224, "architecture_energy": 60.028, "architecture_maturity": 3.489, "architecture_confidence": 68.337, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.4, "rotation_up": 11.54, "upward_expansion": 11.77, "deceleration": 40.61, "rotation_down": 70.06, "downward_expansion": 87.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 566.666667, 584.818182, 633.225714, 643.957635 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 641.0, "trend_reference": 653.156667, "distance_from_trend": -0.018612, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 294.219231, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.178648, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.306528, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.020538, "excess_performance": -0.030697, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.018612, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.089427, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.178648, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.890076, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.113065, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.528757, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.020538, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.442629, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 9048232, "relative_activity": 0.919517, "balance": 0.442629, "dry_up": 0.806838, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.111408, "annualized_volatility": 0.734746, "from_high_reference": -0.19875, "from_low_reference": 1.786957 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 653.156667, "fair_value_reference": 294.219231, "structural_low": 426.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.03706, "positive_rate": 0.466667, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.011787, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.59322, "worst_return": -0.291304, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.07381, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.082011, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.362712, "worst_return": -0.308756, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.125888, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.108074, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 1.2016, "worst_return": -0.343333, 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"rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -54.21881, "energy": 68.625763, "activity_lines": [ 578.2, 621.436364, 658.97762, 660.082581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 544.0, "volume": 7118779, "typical_volume": 10047970.1, "trend": 650.406667, "fair_value": 288.610257, "relative_strength": -2.633457, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.10924, "energy": 68.069674, "activity_lines": [ 556.066667, 601.745455, 647.69381, 653.258495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 516.0, "volume": 7585517, "typical_volume": 10154170.15, "trend": 650.756667, "fair_value": 290.994872, "relative_strength": -9.137728, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.397881, "energy": 81.603191, "activity_lines": [ 536.266667, 580.472727, 634.305238, 644.587097 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 641.0, "volume": 9048232, "typical_volume": 9840205.35, "trend": 653.156667, "fair_value": 294.219231, "relative_strength": 11.306528, "stage": 2, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.223657, "energy": 60.027793, "activity_lines": [ 566.666667, 584.818182, 633.225714, 643.957635 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }