{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cb736aad-858a-4b64-a3a8-771f88732209",
    "symbol": "DPAY",
    "name": "Legal & General UCITS ETF Plc - L&G Digital Payments UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 58.048,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.831,
    "architecture_energy": 86.302,
    "architecture_maturity": 15.512,
    "architecture_confidence": 60.127,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.05,
        "rotation_up": 79.78,
        "upward_expansion": 96.25,
        "deceleration": 42.68,
        "rotation_down": 9.86,
        "downward_expansion": 20.59
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.6838,
        6.543273,
        6.283038,
        6.145
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 6.75,
    "trend_reference": 6.032733,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.118896,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 6.51259,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.036454,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -9.044968,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.149132,
    "excess_performance": -0.02176,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.118896,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001996,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036454,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109501,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09045,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.102529,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.149132,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.039972,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1943,
      "relative_activity": 0.078341,
      "balance": 0.039972,
      "dry_up": 0.1261,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.03257,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.239921,
      "from_high_reference": -0.081882,
      "from_low_reference": 0.250232
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.032733,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.51259,
      "structural_low": 5.399,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.003552,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025683,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.147932,
        "worst_return": -0.191335,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.028683,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.066475,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.1453,
        "worst_return": -0.176544,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.069232,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.13651,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.0,
        "worst_return": -0.171272,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.018894,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.178165,
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        "best_return": 0.022001,
        "worst_return": 0.015787,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.087774,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-08-29",
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        "active": false
      },
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -27.366472,
        "energy": 25.3521,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.928267,
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          5.859024,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 6.026,
        "volume": 16122,
        "typical_volume": 19058.25,
        "trend": 6.144967,
        "fair_value": 6.500872,
        "relative_strength": -19.297827,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -13.91879,
        "energy": 26.335908,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.9944,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 5.751,
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        "typical_volume": 19207.35,
        "trend": 6.112367,
        "fair_value": 6.499026,
        "relative_strength": -22.195127,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -22.229789,
        "energy": 19.942488,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.932467,
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          5.843129,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 5.841,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 19162.3,
        "trend": 6.075433,
        "fair_value": 6.498763,
        "relative_strength": -21.095333,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -16.042901,
        "energy": 9.449022,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.885,
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          5.835229,
          5.930884
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 790,
        "typical_volume": 18117.7,
        "trend": 6.0448,
        "fair_value": 6.496904,
        "relative_strength": -21.684766,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -31.112106,
        "energy": 18.875158,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.8482,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 5.713,
        "volume": 303626,
        "typical_volume": 32090.65,
        "trend": 6.024433,
        "fair_value": 6.494128,
        "relative_strength": -22.325827,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -46.770661,
        "energy": 31.895893,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.793067,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 5.909,
        "volume": 1800,
        "typical_volume": 31632.15,
        "trend": 6.005933,
        "fair_value": 6.492673,
        "relative_strength": -21.480146,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.949915,
        "energy": 20.214395,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 1450,
        "typical_volume": 31456.4,
        "trend": 6.000467,
        "fair_value": 6.493205,
        "relative_strength": -21.607273,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -13.270329,
        "energy": 7.491332,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.884733,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 6.227,
        "volume": 15,
        "typical_volume": 30756.0,
        "trend": 5.991933,
        "fair_value": 6.493872,
        "relative_strength": -15.508755,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.364981,
        "energy": 37.336306,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.008,
          5.941,
          5.877871,
          5.899976
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 6.606,
        "volume": 1050,
        "typical_volume": 29805.45,
        "trend": 5.9985,
        "fair_value": 6.497667,
        "relative_strength": -12.319161,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 60.582491,
        "energy": 73.970265,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.231867,
          6.063473,
          5.951886,
          5.939594
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 6.56,
        "volume": 977,
        "typical_volume": 28939.5,
        "trend": 6.0032,
        "fair_value": 6.499994,
        "relative_strength": -11.953072,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 55.743052,
        "energy": 79.696143,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.388,
          6.168018,
          6.017029,
          5.975819
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 6.618,
        "volume": 4918,
        "typical_volume": 26133.95,
        "trend": 6.009533,
        "fair_value": 6.502321,
        "relative_strength": -9.333148,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.309011,
        "energy": 93.677929,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.507,
          6.272091,
          6.084376,
          6.015484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.493,
        "volume": 2345,
        "typical_volume": 26015.8,
        "trend": 6.008967,
        "fair_value": 6.50334,
        "relative_strength": -10.3361,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.964634,
        "energy": 87.931032,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.537067,
          6.342673,
          6.136062,
          6.046675
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.808,
        "volume": 3304,
        "typical_volume": 24885.95,
        "trend": 6.025,
        "fair_value": 6.507596,
        "relative_strength": -6.055837,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.840269,
        "energy": 92.993712,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.639467,
          6.457036,
          6.214962,
          6.098226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.75,
        "volume": 1943,
        "typical_volume": 24801.75,
        "trend": 6.032733,
        "fair_value": 6.51259,
        "relative_strength": -9.044968,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.831194,
        "energy": 86.301586,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.6838,
          6.543273,
          6.283038,
          6.145
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}