{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cb76d0ec-4da1-4825-831d-8bd0a4ffb655", "symbol": "IRIS", "name": "IRIS RegTech Solutions Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 69.377, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 0.494, "architecture_energy": 7.886, "architecture_maturity": 21.97, "architecture_confidence": 50.198, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.64, "rotation_up": 23.03, "upward_expansion": 22.3, "deceleration": 65.04, "rotation_down": 45.08, "downward_expansion": 33.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 250.613338, 254.369094, 251.809334, 249.296022 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 257.450012, "trend_reference": 250.529666, "distance_from_trend": 0.027623, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 264.729999, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.0275, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.362046, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.028566, "excess_performance": 0.072275, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.027623, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078228, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.0275, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005453, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.07362, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.068789, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.028566, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.571506, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 112608, "relative_activity": 0.837864, "balance": 2.571506, "dry_up": 0.907902, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.094782, "annualized_volatility": 0.395609, "from_high_reference": -0.33664, "from_low_reference": 0.268227 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 250.529666, "fair_value_reference": 264.729999, "structural_low": 203.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.030463, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.009246, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.543278, "worst_return": -0.082896, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.263526, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.209483, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.151457, "worst_return": -0.040256, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.676639, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.53285, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.639187, "worst_return": -0.182983, 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"rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 12.770629, "energy": 14.189749, "activity_lines": [ 258.63667, 256.883638, 250.391048, 250.01886 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 244.5, "volume": 82948, "typical_volume": 132992.35, "trend": 253.927999, "fair_value": 262.686089, "relative_strength": -10.442849, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -0.719842, "energy": 2.73208, "activity_lines": [ 252.530003, 255.125092, 250.344905, 249.297053 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 248.199997, "volume": 145265, "typical_volume": 133653.35, "trend": 251.737999, "fair_value": 263.670704, "relative_strength": -10.642195, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -3.749222, "energy": 9.612114, "activity_lines": [ 249.416668, 253.867273, 250.678952, 248.927505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 257.450012, "volume": 112608, "typical_volume": 134398.85, "trend": 250.529666, "fair_value": 264.729999, "relative_strength": -7.362046, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 0.49379, "energy": 7.886116, "activity_lines": [ 250.613338, 254.369094, 251.809334, 249.296022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }