{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cb840ea6-7a57-4ba4-9c65-a54540aadba1", "symbol": "601619", "name": "Jiaze Renewables Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 78.743, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.925, "architecture_energy": 39.398, "architecture_maturity": 54.94, "architecture_confidence": 58.886, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.11, "rotation_up": 26.63, "upward_expansion": 18.38, "deceleration": 65.91, "rotation_down": 40.46, "downward_expansion": 68.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.504, 4.438895, 4.780778, 5.060394 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.67, "trend_reference": 5.335633, "distance_from_trend": -0.124752, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.83383, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.218103, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.337639, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.190641, "excess_performance": -0.147437, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.124752, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003186, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.218103, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.377149, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.053376, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.242177, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.190641, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.835948, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 173519759, "relative_activity": 0.681473, "balance": 0.835948, "dry_up": 0.914141, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092083, "annualized_volatility": 0.565005, "from_high_reference": -0.346853, "from_low_reference": 0.276573 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.335633, "fair_value_reference": 3.83383, "structural_low": 3.94, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.002825, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.473684, "median_excess_return": -0.011484, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.142857, "worst_return": -0.124731, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.043353, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.038632, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.167568, "worst_return": -0.119593, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.019895, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.005483, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.250661, "worst_return": -0.157761, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -12.872173, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.88792, "energy": 88.882716, "activity_lines": [ 4.212, 4.479785, 4.960049, 5.205075 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.44, "volume": 317657585, "typical_volume": 284762067.65, "trend": 5.324966, "fair_value": 3.825392, "relative_strength": -6.590606, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.373363, "energy": 66.045455, "activity_lines": [ 4.272667, 4.419979, 4.876673, 5.14768 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.63, "volume": 243846770, "typical_volume": 269066331.1, "trend": 5.327966, "fair_value": 3.829245, "relative_strength": -3.287209, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.924554, "energy": 51.78505, "activity_lines": [ 4.398667, 4.419187, 4.822487, 5.102843 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.67, "volume": 173519759, "typical_volume": 254624667.5, "trend": 5.335633, "fair_value": 3.83383, "relative_strength": -5.337639, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.925397, "energy": 39.398083, "activity_lines": [ 4.504, 4.438895, 4.780778, 5.060394 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }