{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cb910a4a-5073-40e0-9f2d-305ee129f5f2", "symbol": "2718", "name": "Allmind Holdings Corporation", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 56.943, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -41.34, "architecture_energy": 31.921, "architecture_maturity": 12.54, "architecture_confidence": 75.283, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 41.06, "rotation_up": 12.13, "upward_expansion": 4.51, "deceleration": 49.26, "rotation_down": 62.18, "downward_expansion": 75.51 }, "activity_lines": [ 45.826667, 46.964546, 47.06381, 47.145592 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 48.400002, "trend_reference": 47.618334, "distance_from_trend": 0.016415, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 62.127207, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.220953, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -33.606461, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.013613, "excess_performance": -0.427759, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.016415, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043231, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.220953, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027255, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.336065, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.05324, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.013613, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.529646, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 302300, "relative_activity": 1.054776, "balance": 1.529646, "dry_up": 0.793287, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068182, "annualized_volatility": 0.317417, "from_high_reference": -0.211057, "from_low_reference": 0.19802 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 47.618334, "fair_value_reference": 62.127207, "structural_low": 40.400002, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.018486, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.01773, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.065, "worst_return": -0.115044, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.076338, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.094808, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.395454, "worst_return": -0.222668, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.18838, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.159988, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.805464, "worst_return": -0.320963, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-10-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.037111, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-10-18", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.023001, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.390068, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.013793, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.04475, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": 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"direction": 22.824203, "energy": 41.225026, "activity_lines": [ 50.276667, 49.09091, 47.788572, 47.96785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 46.650002, "volume": 198005, "typical_volume": 276400.85, "trend": 48.476667, "fair_value": 62.03229, "relative_strength": -34.256849, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 6.57363, "energy": 15.200078, "activity_lines": [ 49.156668, 48.880001, 47.700001, 47.835699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 45.75, "volume": 224099, "typical_volume": 276049.4, "trend": 48.255, "fair_value": 62.056523, "relative_strength": -36.285294, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.811229, "energy": 9.89313, "activity_lines": [ 47.820001, 48.415455, 47.542144, 47.659785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 42.75, "volume": 289001, "typical_volume": 283249.45, "trend": 47.92, "fair_value": 62.06903, "relative_strength": -39.027076, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.90223, "energy": 39.075377, "activity_lines": [ 45.833334, 47.417273, 47.114525, 47.304624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.75, "volume": 94028, "typical_volume": 278245.6, "trend": 47.695, "fair_value": 62.086853, "relative_strength": -37.071185, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.83264, "energy": 42.920336, "activity_lines": [ 44.966667, 46.843637, 46.906191, 47.100108 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 48.400002, "volume": 302300, "typical_volume": 286601.2, "trend": 47.618334, "fair_value": 62.127207, "relative_strength": -33.606461, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.340208, "energy": 31.921095, "activity_lines": [ 45.826667, 46.964546, 47.06381, 47.145592 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }