{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cb9cf828-1bea-4eb3-b7d0-f285264c4591", "symbol": "LTRN", "name": "Lantern Pharma Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 95.153, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -12.257, "architecture_energy": 24.324, "architecture_maturity": 52.082, "architecture_confidence": 50.882, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.05, "rotation_up": 16.86, "upward_expansion": 17.05, "deceleration": 69.41, "rotation_down": 59.16, "downward_expansion": 39.72 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.827333, 3.163091, 3.164, 2.983226 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2.86, "trend_reference": 2.864333, "distance_from_trend": -0.001513, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.953431, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.276578, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -23.88538, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.083333, "excess_performance": -0.10412, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.001513, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003826, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.276578, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.210573, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.238854, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.241632, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.083333, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.277771, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 347097, "relative_activity": 0.143664, "balance": 2.277771, "dry_up": 0.181649, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.23624, "annualized_volatility": 1.382809, "from_high_reference": -0.425645, "from_low_reference": 1.576577 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.864333, "fair_value_reference": 3.953431, "structural_low": 1.11, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.062651, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.070677, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.14, "worst_return": -0.338118, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.167273, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.243175, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.060052, "worst_return": -0.346626, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.384353, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.46795, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.375979, "worst_return": -0.392727, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.347273, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.450362, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.347273, "worst_return": -0.347273, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.217277, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.239875, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.081325, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.108434, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.061404, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.096436, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.117493, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.192053, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.097701, "active": false }, { 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"activity_lines": [ 3.867333, 3.657273, 3.114, 2.975462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.6, "volume": 1296389, "typical_volume": 2381686.65, "trend": 2.938667, "fair_value": 4.003231, "relative_strength": -9.880002, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.570627, "energy": 44.045763, "activity_lines": [ 3.794667, 3.702, 3.190905, 3.018129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.87, "volume": 760431, "typical_volume": 2393903.1, "trend": 2.925667, "fair_value": 3.992397, "relative_strength": -24.240112, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.632497, "energy": 25.326189, "activity_lines": [ 3.478, 3.587091, 3.193571, 3.013699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.75, "volume": 382428, "typical_volume": 2406666.1, "trend": 2.901333, "fair_value": 3.980675, "relative_strength": -25.31114, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.884764, "energy": 18.252224, "activity_lines": [ 3.188667, 3.436364, 3.184571, 3.002366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.63, "volume": 265522, "typical_volume": 2408677.3, "trend": 2.885333, "fair_value": 3.966508, "relative_strength": -27.715281, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 9.407577, "energy": 21.131881, "activity_lines": [ 2.928667, 3.270909, 3.163905, 2.98486 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.86, "volume": 347097, "typical_volume": 2416027.35, "trend": 2.864333, "fair_value": 3.953431, "relative_strength": -23.88538, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -12.25744, "energy": 24.323845, "activity_lines": [ 2.827333, 3.163091, 3.164, 2.983226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }