{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cbb04fc5-699c-4424-bae3-81751cf73e00", "symbol": "RC", "name": "Ready Capital Corp", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.396, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.93, "architecture_energy": 55.456, "architecture_maturity": 6.786, "architecture_confidence": 91.402, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.5, "rotation_up": 16.98, "upward_expansion": 16.46, "deceleration": 32.74, "rotation_down": 63.42, "downward_expansion": 85.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.562, 1.614378, 1.677305, 1.70141 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 1.71, "trend_reference": 1.771701, "distance_from_trend": -0.034826, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.088968, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.663979, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -35.644533, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.164779, "excess_performance": -0.290404, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.034826, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.125659, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.663979, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002316, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.356445, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.086489, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.164779, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.727875, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6824135, "relative_activity": 0.908954, "balance": 0.727875, "dry_up": 0.874928, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.114985, "annualized_volatility": 0.571482, "from_high_reference": -0.600386, "from_low_reference": 0.230216 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.771701, "fair_value_reference": 5.088968, "structural_low": 1.39, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": -0.022303, "positive_rate": 0.441176, "directional_follow_through": 0.558824, "median_excess_return": -0.026912, "regime_survival": 0.794118, "best_return": 0.205611, "worst_return": -0.251488, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.021456, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.160811, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.163388, "worst_return": -0.304659, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.137095, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.257043, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.144457, "worst_return": -0.378842, "sufficient": true 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1.754053, 1.75655, 1.752966, 1.788919 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 1.65, "volume": 5136397, "typical_volume": 9282833.5, "trend": 1.856231, "fair_value": 5.26711, "relative_strength": -42.149961, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.981704, "energy": 22.809543, "activity_lines": [ 1.725345, 1.733302, 1.743892, 1.774077 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.55, "volume": 8633361, "typical_volume": 8830560.8, "trend": 1.834358, "fair_value": 5.221935, "relative_strength": -43.534631, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.218592, "energy": 32.721652, "activity_lines": [ 1.666655, 1.696944, 1.725767, 1.754321 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.47, "volume": 5693531, "typical_volume": 8206249.65, "trend": 1.809488, "fair_value": 5.175245, "relative_strength": -44.749427, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.925288, "energy": 57.667842, "activity_lines": [ 1.589992, 1.652028, 1.701398, 1.730814 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.43, "volume": 5123696, "typical_volume": 7863762.05, "trend": 1.786259, "fair_value": 5.130541, "relative_strength": -45.505745, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.485766, "energy": 69.964417, "activity_lines": [ 1.518, 1.604387, 1.675305, 1.70633 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.71, "volume": 6824135, "typical_volume": 7507678.35, "trend": 1.771701, "fair_value": 5.088968, "relative_strength": -35.644533, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.930279, "energy": 55.455654, "activity_lines": [ 1.562, 1.614378, 1.677305, 1.70141 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }