{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cbb63494-ddc6-410c-ac92-6bb4158a9ffd", "symbol": "EOGR", "name": "EOG Resources, Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 54.466, "architecture_energy": 58.373, "architecture_maturity": 6.87, "architecture_confidence": 72.182, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.51, "rotation_up": 63.96, "upward_expansion": 82.91, "deceleration": 49.26, "rotation_down": 13.34, "downward_expansion": 14.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 122.579786, 120.298249, 118.693921, 117.141027 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 116.949997, "trend_reference": 112.899538, "distance_from_trend": 0.035877, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 105.638988, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.107072, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.251768, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.232243, "excess_performance": 0.057997, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.035877, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.094212, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.107072, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033911, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.082518, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029934, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.232243, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.242991, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 87, "relative_activity": 2.843137, "balance": 3.242991, "dry_up": 2.982026, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058221, "annualized_volatility": 0.383778, "from_high_reference": -0.113359, "from_low_reference": 0.370459 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 112.899538, "fair_value_reference": 105.638988, "structural_low": 93.619894, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.004401, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.028601, "regime_survival": 0.576923, "best_return": 0.188999, "worst_return": -0.151429, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.006715, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.038753, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.233209, "worst_return": -0.125226, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.052801, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.136327, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.303354, "worst_return": 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"date": "2026-07-10", "close": 115.646767, "volume": 89, "typical_volume": 25.25, "trend": 108.077073, "fair_value": 105.160513, "relative_strength": -7.794051, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.12285, "energy": 12.916753, "activity_lines": [ 114.886696, 115.972117, 116.258201, 113.624611 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 121.900002, "volume": 258, "typical_volume": 37.15, "trend": 109.274619, "fair_value": 105.300034, "relative_strength": -0.698438, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.636346, "energy": 28.269856, "activity_lines": [ 117.119817, 116.989332, 116.822397, 114.516413 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 128.100006, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 25.25, "trend": 110.667067, "fair_value": 105.442807, "relative_strength": 3.04066, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.026676, "energy": 56.839226, "activity_lines": [ 121.177871, 118.942002, 117.884166, 115.730954 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 127.550003, "volume": 20, "typical_volume": 26.25, "trend": 111.9768, "fair_value": 105.58263, "relative_strength": 2.790517, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.53062, "energy": 69.887393, "activity_lines": [ 124.037313, 120.641944, 118.822187, 116.820175 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 116.949997, "volume": 87, "typical_volume": 30.6, "trend": 112.899538, "fair_value": 105.638988, "relative_strength": -8.251768, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.465591, "energy": 58.373207, "activity_lines": [ 122.579786, 120.298249, 118.693921, 117.141027 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }