{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cbcda135-fb91-4518-92e3-1ff2b4bfdd1a", "symbol": "TEKX", "name": "SPDR GALAXY TRANSFORMATIVE TECH ACCELERATORS ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.811, "architecture_energy": 24.003, "architecture_maturity": 76.034, "architecture_confidence": 92.679, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.05, "rotation_up": 22.3, "upward_expansion": 54.81, "deceleration": 93.95, "rotation_down": 27.68, "downward_expansion": 20.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 64.681713, 65.816104, 64.117753, 59.906582 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 65.0019, "trend_reference": 54.71908, "distance_from_trend": 0.18792, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 38.940063, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.669281, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 19.076398, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.502656, "excess_performance": 0.315203, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.18792, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.180113, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.669281, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017216, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.190764, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06195, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.502656, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.987393, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 24188, "relative_activity": 1.083464, "balance": 0.987393, "dry_up": 0.947885, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0853, "annualized_volatility": 0.366052, "from_high_reference": -0.158878, "from_low_reference": 1.043564 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.71908, "fair_value_reference": 38.940063, "structural_low": 38.3886, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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67.925713, 67.319836, 61.356409, 56.903942 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 63.5351, "volume": 17625, "typical_volume": 20435.75, "trend": 52.412574, "fair_value": 38.141269, "relative_strength": 24.396304, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.011411, "energy": 46.061541, "activity_lines": [ 66.267453, 66.886776, 62.103022, 57.670622 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 65.4308, "volume": 17567, "typical_volume": 20394.35, "trend": 53.243667, "fair_value": 38.419733, "relative_strength": 28.954368, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.994215, "energy": 36.151243, "activity_lines": [ 65.557727, 66.713205, 62.943702, 58.510508 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 63.8705, "volume": 25265, "typical_volume": 21422.85, "trend": 53.98959, "fair_value": 38.676812, "relative_strength": 24.023278, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.019458, "energy": 27.785372, "activity_lines": [ 64.751813, 66.170576, 63.527279, 59.19611 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 65.0019, "volume": 24188, "typical_volume": 22324.7, "trend": 54.71908, "fair_value": 38.940063, "relative_strength": 19.076398, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.811159, "energy": 24.003409, "activity_lines": [ 64.681713, 65.816104, 64.117753, 59.906582 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }