{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cbd69807-8664-4f3b-a3d6-b9286e60d1e0", "symbol": "AKP", "name": "Akkhie Prakarn Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.352, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 7.253, "architecture_energy": 10.552, "architecture_maturity": 42.99, "architecture_confidence": 82.481, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.45, "rotation_up": 17.22, "upward_expansion": 44.96, "deceleration": 84.87, "rotation_down": 36.32, "downward_expansion": 29.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.693333, 0.699636, 0.704645, 0.694546 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.69, "trend_reference": 0.676334, "distance_from_trend": 0.020206, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.714595, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.034418, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.001463, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.0962, "excess_performance": -0.096125, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.020206, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076538, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.034418, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018169, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.060015, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095824, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0962, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.205171, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2181500, "relative_activity": 0.544119, "balance": 1.205171, "dry_up": 0.646352, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.045708, "annualized_volatility": 0.244301, "from_high_reference": -0.103896, "from_low_reference": 0.360099 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.676334, "fair_value_reference": 0.714595, "structural_low": 0.591868, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.014286, "positive_rate": 0.461538, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.027588, "regime_survival": 0.384615, "best_return": 0.199999, "worst_return": -0.191011, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.000712, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.029055, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.245714, "worst_return": -0.403508, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.337213, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.218781, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.382857, "worst_return": -0.408784, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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0.667913, "fair_value": 0.719245, "relative_strength": -7.637982, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.991191, "energy": 16.195077, "activity_lines": [ 0.699333, 0.708, 0.705285, 0.691968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.69, "volume": 1402900, "typical_volume": 4227125.0, "trend": 0.672124, "fair_value": 0.716891, "relative_strength": -6.566365, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.139011, "energy": 11.199552, "activity_lines": [ 0.696, 0.703455, 0.70502, 0.693393 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.69, "volume": 2181500, "typical_volume": 4009230.0, "trend": 0.676334, "fair_value": 0.714595, "relative_strength": -6.001463, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.252582, "energy": 10.551509, "activity_lines": [ 0.693333, 0.699636, 0.704645, 0.694546 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }