{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cbf2b75c-55a8-46b3-8fde-2c95da3dd90c", "symbol": "UNITECH", "name": "Unitech Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -72.451, "architecture_energy": 69.111, "architecture_maturity": 13.765, "architecture_confidence": 83.101, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.69, "rotation_up": 9.21, "upward_expansion": 14.26, "deceleration": 37.31, "rotation_down": 77.67, "downward_expansion": 92.26 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.319333, 4.495818, 4.646286, 4.665484 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 4.15, "trend_reference": 4.727, "distance_from_trend": -0.122065, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.588526, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.453122, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.574612, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.189453, "excess_performance": -0.145744, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.122065, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.095945, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.453122, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.121728, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.245746, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050093, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.189453, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.359122, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18385569, "relative_activity": 0.753725, "balance": 0.359122, "dry_up": 0.653138, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092308, "annualized_volatility": 0.584204, "from_high_reference": -0.476671, "from_low_reference": 0.33871 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.727, "fair_value_reference": 7.588526, "structural_low": 3.1, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.025641, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.019333, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.434028, "worst_return": -0.203431, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.060798, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 1.0, "worst_return": -0.313812, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.0625, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.123248, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.416667, "worst_return": -0.330819, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.067633, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-10-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.028623, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-10-25", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.021552, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.266667, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.03753, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.054127, "active": 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"Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.956153, "energy": 18.978474, "activity_lines": [ 4.75, 4.812545, 4.774143, 4.794581 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.58, "volume": 14721909, "typical_volume": 25715053.6, "trend": 4.876, "fair_value": 7.532692, "relative_strength": -18.353819, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.619594, "energy": 26.499039, "activity_lines": [ 4.680667, 4.766727, 4.761095, 4.77286 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.38, "volume": 12103959, "typical_volume": 25468971.4, "trend": 4.827, "fair_value": 7.552115, "relative_strength": -19.294425, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.227181, "energy": 50.5487, "activity_lines": [ 4.558, 4.690182, 4.731571, 4.74086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.28, "volume": 18516365, "typical_volume": 25106584.4, "trend": 4.771333, "fair_value": 7.570897, "relative_strength": -22.379889, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.956189, "energy": 61.526047, "activity_lines": [ 4.444, 4.597091, 4.694714, 4.70557 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.15, "volume": 18385569, "typical_volume": 24392939.3, "trend": 4.727, "fair_value": 7.588526, "relative_strength": -24.574612, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.451339, "energy": 69.110986, "activity_lines": [ 4.319333, 4.495818, 4.646286, 4.665484 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }