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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.309, "architecture_energy": 93.118, "architecture_maturity": 34.178, "architecture_confidence": 78.759, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.14, "rotation_up": 83.68, "upward_expansion": 97.42, "deceleration": 41.92, "rotation_down": 9.13, "downward_expansion": 21.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 1039.407349, 1030.189135, 1018.9285, 1009.628842 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1049.0, "trend_reference": 996.936188, "distance_from_trend": 0.052224, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 806.06635, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.301382, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.981515, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.107709, "excess_performance": 0.162375, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.052224, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.023578, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.301382, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013093, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.059815, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096323, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.107709, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 247.052378, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 59161, "relative_activity": 2.070412, "balance": 247.052378, "dry_up": 0.56253, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.011394, "annualized_volatility": 0.095193, "from_high_reference": -0.000952, "from_low_reference": 0.202533 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 996.936188, "fair_value_reference": 806.06635, "structural_low": 947.0, 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}, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1035.130005, "volume": 464, "typical_volume": 32859.7, "trend": 992.77452, "fair_value": 800.329983, "relative_strength": 5.578971, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.196146, "energy": 88.804732, "activity_lines": [ 1030.677336, 1022.329882, 1011.817167, 1003.616475 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1031.680054, "volume": 1042, "typical_volume": 25726.85, "trend": 994.713855, "fair_value": 803.107785, "relative_strength": 4.321794, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.341138, "energy": 85.834854, "activity_lines": [ 1032.861353, 1024.912453, 1014.643241, 1006.12651 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1049.0, "volume": 59161, "typical_volume": 28574.5, "trend": 996.936188, "fair_value": 806.06635, "relative_strength": 5.981515, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.308792, "energy": 93.118169, "activity_lines": [ 1039.407349, 1030.189135, 1018.9285, 1009.628842 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }