{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cc0038db-9dbd-4ba6-b5e8-8049feb959ae", "symbol": "300680", "name": "Wuxi Longsheng Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.993, "architecture_energy": 68.134, "architecture_maturity": 62.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.499, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.98, "rotation_up": 13.93, "upward_expansion": 14.2, "deceleration": 41.91, "rotation_down": 65.83, "downward_expansion": 85.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.538, 22.73814, 25.330892, 27.381433 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 22.16, "trend_reference": 30.876035, "distance_from_trend": -0.282291, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 23.688828, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.064538, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -37.900249, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.441231, "excess_performance": -0.448631, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.282291, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.13132, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.064538, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.520578, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.379002, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.144285, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.441231, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.659023, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37095962, "relative_activity": 0.754046, "balance": 0.659023, "dry_up": 0.959164, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.153623, "annualized_volatility": 0.61672, "from_high_reference": -0.577344, "from_low_reference": 0.140504 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.876035, "fair_value_reference": 23.688828, "structural_low": 19.43, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.000625, "positive_rate": 0.478261, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.0133, "regime_survival": 0.826087, "best_return": 0.27957, "worst_return": -0.237477, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.055273, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.039077, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.343231, "worst_return": -0.219819, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.052668, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.053843, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.147085, "worst_return": -0.210345, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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25.172669, 27.385419, 29.546749 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.76, "volume": 49199336, "typical_volume": 48878956.4, "trend": 32.195453, "fair_value": 23.611297, "relative_strength": -43.357072, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.772239, "energy": 61.697133, "activity_lines": [ 22.493333, 23.905607, 26.520033, 28.709467 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.01, "volume": 39339510, "typical_volume": 48962634.9, "trend": 31.559073, "fair_value": 23.643077, "relative_strength": -38.426468, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.452404, "energy": 60.198526, "activity_lines": [ 21.792667, 23.10505, 25.843803, 27.987825 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 22.16, "volume": 37095962, "typical_volume": 49195917.05, "trend": 30.876035, "fair_value": 23.688828, "relative_strength": -37.900249, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.993275, "energy": 68.134236, "activity_lines": [ 21.538, 22.73814, 25.330892, 27.381433 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }