{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cc03e47f-e3c9-4198-a4dc-4dcd7992f7b8", "symbol": "SATIA", "name": "Satia Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 68.93, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -5.734, "architecture_energy": 21.032, "architecture_maturity": 63.837, "architecture_confidence": 48.674, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.92, "rotation_up": 47.21, "upward_expansion": 29.3, "deceleration": 37.64, "rotation_down": 16.31, "downward_expansion": 49.64 }, "activity_lines": [ 61.433334, 59.217455, 59.883762, 60.571204 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 63.48, "trend_reference": 61.440666, "distance_from_trend": 0.033192, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 94.69337, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.329626, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.724167, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.036747, "excess_performance": 0.080456, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.033192, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054056, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.329626, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045201, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.047242, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.04548, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.036747, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.690846, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 343298, "relative_activity": 0.56854, "balance": 1.690846, "dry_up": 1.335829, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.067908, "annualized_volatility": 0.415027, "from_high_reference": -0.298415, "from_low_reference": 0.249606 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 61.440666, "fair_value_reference": 94.69337, "structural_low": 50.799999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.010663, "positive_rate": 0.535714, "directional_follow_through": 0.464286, "median_excess_return": 0.004155, "regime_survival": 0.821429, "best_return": 0.242473, "worst_return": -0.180096, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.032632, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.01311, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.268034, "worst_return": -0.183585, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.067413, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.009644, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.346742, "worst_return": -0.309693, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"fair_value": 95.999616, "relative_strength": -17.638827, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.013857, "energy": 52.994666, "activity_lines": [ 55.406666, 56.476182, 59.557428, 60.64929 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 60.16, "volume": 1413217, "typical_volume": 591655.55, "trend": 61.855666, "fair_value": 95.68093, "relative_strength": -10.393928, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.351336, "energy": 30.304108, "activity_lines": [ 57.025333, 56.735273, 59.491904, 60.528602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 60.450001, "volume": 892618, "typical_volume": 621465.65, "trend": 61.671, "fair_value": 95.38213, "relative_strength": -7.229784, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.656902, "energy": 20.340575, "activity_lines": [ 58.366, 57.242727, 59.482952, 60.437914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 61.75, "volume": 577288, "typical_volume": 619408.7, "trend": 61.493, "fair_value": 95.071106, "relative_strength": -7.085489, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -19.481526, "energy": 18.833805, "activity_lines": [ 59.81, 58.047455, 59.605333, 60.443011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 63.48, "volume": 343298, "typical_volume": 603823.95, "trend": 61.440666, "fair_value": 94.69337, "relative_strength": -4.724167, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -5.73373, "energy": 21.032199, "activity_lines": [ 61.433334, 59.217455, 59.883762, 60.571204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }