{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cc262a7a-c649-4465-9efb-c1c1f7ce41b1",
    "symbol": "BDT",
    "name": "Bertrandt Aktiengesellschaft",
    "exchange": "GER",
    "country": "DE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GDAXI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -64.979,
    "architecture_energy": 84.343,
    "architecture_maturity": 85.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 89.891,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.87,
        "rotation_up": 29.94,
        "upward_expansion": 21.31,
        "deceleration": 37.33,
        "rotation_down": 52.04,
        "downward_expansion": 92.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        8.732,
        8.845091,
        9.64819,
        11.133591
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 8.78,
    "trend_reference": 13.323,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.340989,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 26.042765,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.662862,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -48.358553,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.507295,
    "excess_performance": -0.571935,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.340989,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.192757,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.662862,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005616,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.483586,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020892,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.507295,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.890603,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 40756,
      "relative_activity": 0.585783,
      "balance": 1.890603,
      "dry_up": 0.472338,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.077624,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.56689,
      "from_high_reference": -0.58972,
      "from_low_reference": 0.086634
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.323,
      "fair_value_reference": 26.042765,
      "structural_low": 8.08,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": -0.034582,
        "positive_rate": 0.363636,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.606061,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032372,
        "regime_survival": 0.848485,
        "best_return": 0.265537,
        "worst_return": -0.336634,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": -0.012749,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.545455,
        "median_excess_return": -0.051998,
        "regime_survival": 0.545455,
        "best_return": 0.12605,
        "worst_return": -0.395918,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.058545,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.118728,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.375843,
        "worst_return": -0.560345,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.191703,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.499219,
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        "best_return": 0.046309,
        "worst_return": -0.444875,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-15",
        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.059574,
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "color": "teal",
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        "return": 0.064,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "energy": 81.149533,
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          13.341849
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "trend": 14.983667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 14.669,
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        "relative_strength": -46.946239,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.964264,
        "energy": 65.179332,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 49976,
        "typical_volume": 68820.7,
        "trend": 14.347667,
        "fair_value": 26.755641,
        "relative_strength": -48.560976,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -72.865067,
        "energy": 67.060347,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.888,
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          10.478619,
          12.163032
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 8.48,
        "volume": 21159,
        "typical_volume": 68924.75,
        "trend": 14.027,
        "fair_value": 26.514647,
        "relative_strength": -49.123249,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -71.959849,
        "energy": 66.182452,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.725333,
          8.982364,
          10.137524,
          11.784473
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 8.84,
        "volume": 19561,
        "typical_volume": 68750.35,
        "trend": 13.681667,
        "fair_value": 26.280599,
        "relative_strength": -47.353894,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.378542,
        "energy": 84.33664,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.737333,
          8.908182,
          9.875571,
          11.449828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 8.78,
        "volume": 40756,
        "typical_volume": 69575.2,
        "trend": 13.323,
        "fair_value": 26.042765,
        "relative_strength": -48.358553,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.978729,
        "energy": 84.342851,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.732,
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          9.64819,
          11.133591
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}