{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cc2d0e32-43cf-4b3a-b71d-6c918b9108a0", "symbol": "300351", "name": "Zhejiang Yonggui Electric Equipment Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.678, "architecture_energy": 70.674, "architecture_maturity": 23.901, "architecture_confidence": 83.223, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.16, "rotation_up": 10.15, "upward_expansion": 16.13, "deceleration": 37.64, "rotation_down": 68.06, "downward_expansion": 87.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.586667, 14.586909, 16.834267, 17.39309 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 14.38, "trend_reference": 17.947185, "distance_from_trend": -0.19876, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.035832, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.155897, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.988506, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.188927, "excess_performance": -0.196327, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.19876, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036439, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.155897, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.635348, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.219885, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.382639, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.188927, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.622554, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 54080420, "relative_activity": 0.728581, "balance": 1.622554, "dry_up": 0.912721, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.198516, "annualized_volatility": 0.865178, "from_high_reference": -0.492794, "from_low_reference": 0.319266 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.947185, "fair_value_reference": 17.035832, "structural_low": 10.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.11175, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.3125, "median_excess_return": 0.015606, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.598647, "worst_return": -0.097365, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.079437, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.044248, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.873732, "worst_return": -0.10516, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.284717, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.301675, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.634724, "worst_return": 0.118701, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.895031, "energy": 69.43052, "activity_lines": [ 14.964667, 16.430295, 18.129879, 18.289137 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.85, "volume": 91881087, "typical_volume": 76463107.7, "trend": 18.232101, "fair_value": 17.03967, "relative_strength": -28.547371, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.369282, "energy": 72.112299, "activity_lines": [ 13.9, 15.454, 17.600748, 17.933085 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.55, "volume": 55835115, "typical_volume": 74499703.3, "trend": 18.067823, "fair_value": 17.032176, "relative_strength": -23.041292, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.52444, "energy": 73.466909, "activity_lines": [ 13.507333, 14.835455, 17.1677, 17.631014 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.38, "volume": 54080420, "typical_volume": 74227033.1, "trend": 17.947185, "fair_value": 17.035832, "relative_strength": -21.988506, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.677983, "energy": 70.674458, "activity_lines": [ 13.586667, 14.586909, 16.834267, 17.39309 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }