{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cc44dca5-34eb-4044-a9ad-8024b1224d9a", "symbol": "300050", "name": "Dingli Corp., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 69.843, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.774, "architecture_energy": 40.424, "architecture_maturity": 15.141, "architecture_confidence": 83.058, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.29, "rotation_up": 15.92, "upward_expansion": 4.86, "deceleration": 52.3, "rotation_down": 58.3, "downward_expansion": 78.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.649333, 5.776909, 6.292333, 6.412946 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.12, "trend_reference": 6.415667, "distance_from_trend": -0.046085, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.284423, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.158121, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.238195, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.06993, "excess_performance": 0.06253, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.046085, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013747, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.158121, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.304117, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.052382, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056654, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.06993, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.96438, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 101651833, "relative_activity": 0.699618, "balance": 0.96438, "dry_up": 0.852531, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.140146, "annualized_volatility": 0.490709, "from_high_reference": -0.261761, "from_low_reference": 0.302128 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.415667, "fair_value_reference": 5.284423, "structural_low": 4.7, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.042416, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.087508, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.108527, "worst_return": -0.205189, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.017262, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.002201, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.182971, "worst_return": -0.110849, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.046699, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.049591, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.117754, "worst_return": -0.320755, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.108527, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.003953, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.247642, "worst_return": -0.246436, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.018553, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.139535, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.172757, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.041667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.017271, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.085217, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.102439, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.001812, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-09", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.027923, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.02314, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-03-06", "end": "2026-04-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.07541, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-10", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.087786, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.147385, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.06993, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-07-28", "close": 4.28, "volume": 124645117, "typical_volume": 60618150.7, "trend": 4.249667, "fair_value": 4.733205, "relative_strength": 7.878904, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.084395, "energy": 9.060586, 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"mixed", "direction": -27.831727, "energy": 55.146222, "activity_lines": [ 5.777333, 6.180727, 6.606571, 6.571656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.16, "volume": 137419256, "typical_volume": 152525913.0, "trend": 6.396, "fair_value": 5.266282, "relative_strength": -17.703442, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -46.591619, "energy": 64.680808, "activity_lines": [ 5.508667, 5.927636, 6.457714, 6.49114 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.46, "volume": 105788456, "typical_volume": 153247424.75, "trend": 6.396, "fair_value": 5.274103, "relative_strength": -11.260799, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.207536, "energy": 57.69351, "activity_lines": [ 5.445333, 5.775091, 6.341905, 6.430753 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.12, "volume": 101651833, "typical_volume": 145296091.65, "trend": 6.415667, "fair_value": 5.284423, "relative_strength": -5.238195, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.773901, "energy": 40.424359, "activity_lines": [ 5.649333, 5.776909, 6.292333, 6.412946 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }