{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cc4f041a-b520-4d45-8636-222c95c9f3cb", "symbol": "ZM", "name": "Zoom Communications, Inc.", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 57.104, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 51.694, "architecture_energy": 31.473, "architecture_maturity": 39.444, "architecture_confidence": 62.091, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 36.46, "rotation_up": 55.03, "upward_expansion": 60.08, "deceleration": 66.79, "rotation_down": 18.86, "downward_expansion": 19.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 1615.666667, 1582.050544, 1614.538377, 1581.086447 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1718.0, "trend_reference": 1543.403328, "distance_from_trend": 0.113124, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1391.272052, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.234841, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.315275, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.051408, "excess_performance": 0.106074, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.113124, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007384, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.234841, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109551, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.093153, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001365, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.051408, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.06796, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 184, "relative_activity": 0.098765, "balance": 0.06796, "dry_up": 0.128824, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057514, "annualized_volatility": 0.518805, "from_high_reference": -0.095789, "from_low_reference": 0.396612 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1543.403328, "fair_value_reference": 1391.272052, "structural_low": 1230.119995, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.024171, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.010981, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.040431, "worst_return": 0.00791, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.110991, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.172617, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.110991, "worst_return": -0.110991, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.143563, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.270364, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.143563, "worst_return": -0.143563, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.059578, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.053161, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.043133, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.086066, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.029247, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.012, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.250863, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-01", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.103819, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.154131, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.142964, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 1110.0, "volume": 325, "typical_volume": 1413.4, "trend": 1234.424337, "fair_value": 4185.867115, "relative_strength": -20.3847, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": 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"Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.301869, "energy": 34.925709, "activity_lines": [ 1507.903328, 1593.347632, 1593.443327, 1561.703133 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1630.0, "volume": 79, "typical_volume": 1898.85, "trend": 1537.680994, "fair_value": 1383.03077, "relative_strength": 4.117404, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.255096, "energy": 23.01535, "activity_lines": [ 1543.95533, 1588.130542, 1602.692851, 1567.680704 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1515.0, "volume": 342, "typical_volume": 1836.05, "trend": 1535.764994, "fair_value": 1384.921795, "relative_strength": -2.744725, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.6571, "energy": 15.527739, "activity_lines": [ 1539.873999, 1565.458907, 1599.22809, 1566.217414 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1585.0, "volume": 355, "typical_volume": 1853.8, "trend": 1536.764994, "fair_value": 1387.502821, "relative_strength": 0.9838, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.152182, "energy": 9.202204, "activity_lines": [ 1558.333333, 1559.254725, 1601.28771, 1569.393866 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1718.0, "volume": 184, "typical_volume": 1863.0, "trend": 1543.403328, "fair_value": 1391.272052, "relative_strength": 9.315275, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.694279, "energy": 31.472546, "activity_lines": [ 1615.666667, 1582.050544, 1614.538377, 1581.086447 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }