{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cc516818-4c66-4853-b692-6a11109f39aa", "symbol": "FEL", "name": "Future Enterprises Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.822, "architecture_energy": 59.019, "architecture_maturity": 21.635, "architecture_confidence": 89.731, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.31, "rotation_up": 16.26, "upward_expansion": 10.65, "deceleration": 45.07, "rotation_down": 66.76, "downward_expansion": 86.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.372, 0.378909, 0.401429, 0.409548 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.37, "trend_reference": 0.420667, "distance_from_trend": -0.120444, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.651987, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.432504, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.357772, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.195652, "excess_performance": -0.151943, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.120444, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043215, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.432504, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.101283, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.183578, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.124431, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.195652, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.453853, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 882176, "relative_activity": 1.366055, "balance": 0.453853, "dry_up": 1.208848, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068607, "annualized_volatility": 0.307423, "from_high_reference": -0.430769, "from_low_reference": 0.088235 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.420667, "fair_value_reference": 0.651987, "structural_low": 0.36, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.022222, "positive_rate": 0.324324, "directional_follow_through": 0.567568, "median_excess_return": -0.02574, "regime_survival": 0.837838, "best_return": 0.25, "worst_return": -0.409449, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.000286, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.024625, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.333333, "worst_return": -0.684211, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.020408, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.025336, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.583333, "worst_return": -0.708661, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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0.37, "volume": 832702, "typical_volume": 678459.6, "trend": 0.427, "fair_value": 0.658397, "relative_strength": -17.049163, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -69.63952, "energy": 79.351909, "activity_lines": [ 0.372667, 0.387455, 0.40919, 0.416043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.38, "volume": 634236, "typical_volume": 655257.8, "trend": 0.423667, "fair_value": 0.655064, "relative_strength": -16.23613, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.511277, "energy": 75.047843, "activity_lines": [ 0.373333, 0.383455, 0.405714, 0.413011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.37, "volume": 882176, "typical_volume": 645783.7, "trend": 0.420667, "fair_value": 0.651987, "relative_strength": -18.357772, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.821851, "energy": 59.019205, "activity_lines": [ 0.372, 0.378909, 0.401429, 0.409548 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }