{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cc619277-9874-4bbd-b778-704fa651f642", "symbol": "HWM", "name": "Howmet Aerospace Inc.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 89.396, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.1, "architecture_energy": 66.334, "architecture_maturity": 42.526, "architecture_confidence": 78.883, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.8, "rotation_up": 65.54, "upward_expansion": 86.37, "deceleration": 51.46, "rotation_down": 17.24, "downward_expansion": 13.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 246.382324, 242.722946, 234.699932, 228.039066 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 247.199997, "trend_reference": 218.456516, "distance_from_trend": 0.131575, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 124.37501, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.987538, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.995499, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.321244, "excess_performance": 0.146997, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.131575, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.109625, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.987538, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.15824, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.039955, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.088587, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.321244, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.058824, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.058824, "dry_up": 0.0, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04228, "annualized_volatility": 0.318274, "from_high_reference": -0.036474, "from_low_reference": 0.699282 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 218.456516, "fair_value_reference": 124.37501, "structural_low": 187.046495, 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"2026-07-17", "close": 241.166153, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.1, "trend": 211.575239, "fair_value": 120.448628, "relative_strength": 6.673579, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.065694, "energy": 63.777727, "activity_lines": [ 238.533934, 234.578568, 227.291234, 221.320713 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 254.458786, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.1, "trend": 214.16446, "fair_value": 121.791324, "relative_strength": 10.718021, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.505332, "energy": 78.034721, "activity_lines": [ 243.8067, 238.787393, 230.482709, 224.087394 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 244.664212, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.1, "trend": 216.448836, "fair_value": 123.076628, "relative_strength": 6.277338, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.891901, "energy": 54.887505, "activity_lines": [ 245.010688, 240.734318, 232.556235, 226.05512 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 247.199997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 4.1, "trend": 218.456516, "fair_value": 124.37501, "relative_strength": 3.995499, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.099762, "energy": 66.334324, "activity_lines": [ 246.382324, 242.722946, 234.699932, 228.039066 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }