{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cc631e2c-8ae3-43e5-81c1-5a554e302e6a",
    "symbol": "002360",
    "name": "Shanxi Tond Chemical Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 81.961,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -54.777,
    "architecture_energy": 36.714,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.213,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.088,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.74,
        "rotation_up": 20.38,
        "upward_expansion": 4.79,
        "deceleration": 51.35,
        "rotation_down": 48.41,
        "downward_expansion": 75.79
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.12,
        5.178727,
        5.479476,
        5.640215
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 5.27,
    "trend_reference": 5.703667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.076033,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 5.532903,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.047516,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.707922,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.00381,
    "excess_performance": -0.00359,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.076033,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009201,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047516,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.144679,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067079,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001863,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00381,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.65708,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 24825559,
      "relative_activity": 0.42013,
      "balance": 0.65708,
      "dry_up": 0.504747,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.112392,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.514254,
      "from_high_reference": -0.246066,
      "from_low_reference": 0.160793
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.703667,
      "fair_value_reference": 5.532903,
      "structural_low": 4.56,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.011527,
        "positive_rate": 0.565217,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.434783,
        "median_excess_return": 0.019981,
        "regime_survival": 0.782609,
        "best_return": 0.169856,
        "worst_return": -0.186755,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
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        "worst_return": -0.183749,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.079665,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.099222,
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      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "typical_volume": 65282693.35,
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        "fair_value": 5.54635,
        "relative_strength": -10.226966,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Structural failure",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.356284,
        "energy": 45.256161,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.27,
        "volume": 24825559,
        "typical_volume": 59090140.8,
        "trend": 5.703667,
        "fair_value": 5.532903,
        "relative_strength": -6.707922,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.776838,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}