{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cc68c1d3-b981-42a0-805f-997afbf33b52",
    "symbol": "QTAP",
    "name": "Innovator Growth Accelerated Plus ETF - April",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 86.785,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.456,
    "architecture_energy": 60.269,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.005,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.962,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.68,
        "rotation_up": 50.27,
        "upward_expansion": 80.96,
        "deceleration": 71.03,
        "rotation_down": 29.41,
        "downward_expansion": 9.96
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        51.148227,
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        50.747405,
        49.801875
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 51.9525,
    "trend_reference": 48.437077,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.072577,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 38.935384,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.334326,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -0.314544,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.15228,
    "excess_performance": 0.026655,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072577,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046919,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.334326,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032576,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.003145,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.024916,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.15228,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.609714,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3702,
      "relative_activity": 0.178033,
      "balance": 1.609714,
      "dry_up": 1.036665,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014192,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.08188,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.219542
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 48.437077,
      "fair_value_reference": 38.935384,
      "structural_low": 45.061,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.018076,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00504,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.068599,
        "worst_return": -0.054373,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.058811,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002074,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.107185,
        "worst_return": 0.03043,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.114727,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.036681,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.146877,
        "worst_return": 0.07155,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.191477,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.021254,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.222456,
        "worst_return": 0.160497,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-09-01",
        "end": "2023-09-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003046,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-09-15",
        "end": "2023-10-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.002476,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-10-20",
        "end": "2023-11-10",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.045268,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-11-17",
        "end": "2024-04-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.026418,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.040343,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.033168,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.014959,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.047489,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.053737,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013374,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "return": 0.045181,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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      {
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        "return": 0.02128,
        "active": true
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        "typical_volume": 22552.3,
        "trend": 45.10799,
        "fair_value": 36.850588,
        "relative_strength": 3.167442,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 98.916202,
        "energy": 99.603039,
        "activity_lines": [
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          45.764145
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 23259.85,
        "trend": 45.315777,
        "fair_value": 36.996315,
        "relative_strength": 2.975033,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 95.158783,
        "energy": 98.299654,
        "activity_lines": [
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          46.690777,
          46.080094
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 32832,
        "typical_volume": 24667.95,
        "trend": 45.561927,
        "fair_value": 37.146034,
        "relative_strength": 2.177047,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 94.560453,
        "energy": 98.090761,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 50.6202,
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        "typical_volume": 25433.2,
        "trend": 45.79245,
        "fair_value": 37.290347,
        "relative_strength": 1.667603,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.475566,
        "energy": 93.479218,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.310773,
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          47.562469,
          46.758642
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 22316.8,
        "trend": 46.023223,
        "fair_value": 37.434259,
        "relative_strength": 1.576172,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.028192,
        "energy": 88.63969,
        "activity_lines": [
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          49.650505,
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          47.094484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 51.41,
        "volume": 24117,
        "typical_volume": 19047.65,
        "trend": 46.26629,
        "fair_value": 37.578783,
        "relative_strength": 0.977976,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 84.723635,
        "energy": 74.580173,
        "activity_lines": [
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          48.417029,
          47.442018
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 50.5267,
        "volume": 10294,
        "typical_volume": 19154.4,
        "trend": 46.48793,
        "fair_value": 37.71651,
        "relative_strength": 1.812092,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.46214,
        "energy": 68.545763,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.885527,
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          48.73442,
          47.716883
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 50.875,
        "volume": 45086,
        "typical_volume": 20660.1,
        "trend": 46.72025,
        "fair_value": 37.853705,
        "relative_strength": 1.956538,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.760369,
        "energy": 67.20933,
        "activity_lines": [
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          47.99992
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 21083.65,
        "trend": 46.97073,
        "fair_value": 37.993203,
        "relative_strength": 1.639948,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 67.725285,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 50.6123,
        "volume": 16899,
        "typical_volume": 19258.3,
        "trend": 47.179807,
        "fair_value": 38.126806,
        "relative_strength": 2.96222,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.93018,
        "energy": 60.938112,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.855487,
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          49.626253,
          48.521979
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 50.7941,
        "volume": 6477,
        "typical_volume": 18943.15,
        "trend": 47.38918,
        "fair_value": 38.262315,
        "relative_strength": 1.143101,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.910414,
        "energy": 55.94519,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.81388,
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          49.860046,
          48.755159
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 51.308,
        "volume": 9172,
        "typical_volume": 17985.1,
        "trend": 47.61535,
        "fair_value": 38.398392,
        "relative_strength": 0.803416,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.368807,
        "energy": 63.853928,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.984633,
          50.942771,
          50.115607,
          49.007986
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 50.6904,
        "volume": 36010,
        "typical_volume": 19387.85,
        "trend": 47.816113,
        "fair_value": 38.530195,
        "relative_strength": 1.155508,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.330819,
        "energy": 54.675869,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.897433,
          50.903027,
          50.283509,
          49.206377
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 50.4307,
        "volume": 6169,
        "typical_volume": 19144.4,
        "trend": 48.002267,
        "fair_value": 38.65895,
        "relative_strength": 1.214555,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.694808,
        "energy": 50.47229,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.735973,
          50.817604,
          50.401068,
          49.37506
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 50.87,
        "volume": 40344,
        "typical_volume": 20778.7,
        "trend": 48.2046,
        "fair_value": 38.793354,
        "relative_strength": 1.008509,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.421411,
        "energy": 47.109215,
        "activity_lines": [
          50.770273,
          50.815498,
          50.535753,
          49.560075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 51.9525,
        "volume": 3702,
        "typical_volume": 20793.85,
        "trend": 48.437077,
        "fair_value": 38.935384,
        "relative_strength": -0.314544,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.455565,
        "energy": 60.26919,
        "activity_lines": [
          51.148227,
          51.012538,
          50.747405,
          49.801875
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}