{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cc6f7d1d-b841-4f43-9d9f-24c31e2ebf69", "symbol": "3713", "name": "Hsinjing Holding Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -47.56, "architecture_energy": 26.598, "architecture_maturity": 66.16, "architecture_confidence": 79.492, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.0, "rotation_up": 21.59, "upward_expansion": 2.24, "deceleration": 56.5, "rotation_down": 42.8, "downward_expansion": 73.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.453333, 14.547273, 14.713572, 15.148172 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 14.6, "trend_reference": 16.21, "distance_from_trend": -0.099321, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 21.719664, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.327798, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -46.200683, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.247423, "excess_performance": -0.688795, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.099321, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.127791, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.327798, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088249, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.462007, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.101001, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.247423, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.85703, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 313180, "relative_activity": 0.497407, "balance": 1.85703, "dry_up": 0.295094, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.115911, "annualized_volatility": 0.505993, "from_high_reference": -0.478571, "from_low_reference": 0.168 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.21, "fair_value_reference": 21.719664, "structural_low": 12.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": -0.021429, "positive_rate": 0.378378, "directional_follow_through": 0.621622, "median_excess_return": -0.011394, "regime_survival": 0.783784, "best_return": 0.597087, "worst_return": -0.211268, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.020492, "positive_rate": 0.538462, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.016363, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.185547, "worst_return": -0.21663, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.023438, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.112585, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.209497, "worst_return": -0.236674, "sufficient": true }, { 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"trend": 17.023333, "fair_value": 21.974472, "relative_strength": -47.61109, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.904573, "energy": 39.819295, "activity_lines": [ 14.38, 14.814546, 14.845953, 15.575592 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.55, "volume": 234015, "typical_volume": 691938.8, "trend": 16.715, "fair_value": 21.886331, "relative_strength": -44.800004, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.04729, "energy": 34.256128, "activity_lines": [ 14.4, 14.742727, 14.790714, 15.416022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.4, "volume": 50000, "typical_volume": 675069.55, "trend": 16.436667, "fair_value": 21.799151, "relative_strength": -45.872999, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.920978, "energy": 31.5853, "activity_lines": [ 14.373333, 14.614546, 14.736429, 15.266667 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 14.6, "volume": 313180, "typical_volume": 629625.65, "trend": 16.21, "fair_value": 21.719664, "relative_strength": -46.200683, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -47.560448, "energy": 26.598169, "activity_lines": [ 14.453333, 14.547273, 14.713572, 15.148172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }