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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 68.22, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 30.213, "architecture_energy": 19.846, "architecture_maturity": 28.705, "architecture_confidence": 42.515, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 48.39, "rotation_up": 38.82, "upward_expansion": 62.75, "deceleration": 62.37, "rotation_down": 23.52, "downward_expansion": 15.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 57.332, 57.478364, 56.981899, 56.681397 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 56.1, "trend_reference": 55.989405, "distance_from_trend": 0.001975, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 44.294521, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.266522, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.195101, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.056185, "excess_performance": -0.06944, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001975, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04142, "read": "Rising" }, { 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"trend": 55.054327, "fair_value": 43.759091, "relative_strength": -1.634747, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.187345, "energy": 51.857132, "activity_lines": [ 57.509333, 56.925187, 56.545848, 56.106865 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 58.78, "volume": 4237562, "typical_volume": 3644814.85, "trend": 55.346399, "fair_value": 43.889619, "relative_strength": 2.171138, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.235478, "energy": 63.614641, "activity_lines": [ 57.996667, 57.346545, 56.768802, 56.347231 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 58.84, "volume": 3215040, "typical_volume": 3591256.5, "trend": 55.607689, "fair_value": 44.026706, "relative_strength": 2.767149, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.853243, "energy": 60.03256, "activity_lines": [ 58.379333, 57.721273, 56.989057, 56.572625 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 57.0, "volume": 4522607, "typical_volume": 3656230.85, "trend": 55.806335, "fair_value": 44.164575, "relative_strength": -1.474607, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.693159, "energy": 35.928973, "activity_lines": [ 57.965333, 57.686364, 57.026698, 56.662451 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 56.1, "volume": 3832600, "typical_volume": 3590632.8, "trend": 55.989405, "fair_value": 44.294521, "relative_strength": -6.195101, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.213319, "energy": 19.846052, "activity_lines": [ 57.332, 57.478364, 56.981899, 56.681397 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }