{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cc80f937-724a-42d1-a52d-0ddff4bf3d31", "symbol": "INKT", "name": "Mink Therapeutics Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 56.049, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -22.066, "architecture_energy": 27.741, "architecture_maturity": 34.23, "architecture_confidence": 78.178, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 66.6, "rotation_up": 20.51, "upward_expansion": 12.36, "deceleration": 48.28, "rotation_down": 51.77, "downward_expansion": 51.69 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.822, 11.104, 11.314571, 11.259161 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.95, "trend_reference": 11.264, "distance_from_trend": -0.027876, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.648853, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.02828, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.450311, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.001823, "excess_performance": -0.189277, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.027876, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.013026, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.02828, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058092, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.214503, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.075652, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.001823, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.287022, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 55166, "relative_activity": 0.31284, "balance": 1.287022, "dry_up": 0.295186, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.136246, "annualized_volatility": 0.636124, "from_high_reference": -0.397318, "from_low_reference": 0.291258 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.264, "fair_value_reference": 10.648853, "structural_low": 8.4801, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.007306, "positive_rate": 0.352941, "directional_follow_through": 0.352941, "median_excess_return": -0.081036, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.217788, "worst_return": -0.32967, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.176136, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.143742, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.801379, "worst_return": -0.527473, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.22875, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.360295, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.307955, "worst_return": -0.626374, "sufficient": false }, { 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"label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.227473, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.037798, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-06-13", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.001379, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.036017, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.767648, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-10-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 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"direction": 18.576287, "energy": 15.419672, "activity_lines": [ 11.816, 11.714, 11.518333, 11.427548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 11.05, "volume": 92603, "typical_volume": 1012854.7, "trend": 11.393333, "fair_value": 10.833596, "relative_strength": -25.114752, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.440718, "energy": 10.335393, "activity_lines": [ 11.543333, 11.618, 11.49719, 11.402452 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.66, "volume": 67428, "typical_volume": 1015062.3, "trend": 11.362333, "fair_value": 10.784622, "relative_strength": -23.09596, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.379804, "energy": 9.65052, "activity_lines": [ 11.195333, 11.461273, 11.440429, 11.35514 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.07, "volume": 52028, "typical_volume": 1016508.6, "trend": 11.333, "fair_value": 10.744686, "relative_strength": -17.512708, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -7.511959, "energy": 10.889406, "activity_lines": [ 11.074667, 11.386, 11.424095, 11.33628 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.5, "volume": 33590, "typical_volume": 190175.1, "trend": 11.312333, "fair_value": 10.695968, "relative_strength": -21.307086, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -27.896472, "energy": 28.426056, "activity_lines": [ 10.835333, 11.200727, 11.349714, 11.282538 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.95, "volume": 55166, "typical_volume": 176339.4, "trend": 11.264, "fair_value": 10.648853, "relative_strength": -21.450311, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.066234, "energy": 27.741227, "activity_lines": [ 10.822, 11.104, 11.314571, 11.259161 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }