{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cc954690-a62a-4681-becb-5da22f46c03b", "symbol": "DBSTOCKBRO", "name": "DB (International) Stock Brokers Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 42.87, "architecture_energy": 27.832, "architecture_maturity": 83.248, "architecture_confidence": 91.921, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.6, "rotation_up": 37.9, "upward_expansion": 64.83, "deceleration": 85.39, "rotation_down": 24.88, "downward_expansion": 14.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 34.843999, 34.972545, 33.053286, 31.26871 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 32.389999, "trend_reference": 29.085, "distance_from_trend": 0.113632, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 35.81218, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.095559, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 18.102852, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.30763, "excess_performance": 0.351339, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.113632, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.120521, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.095559, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.113437, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.181029, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098021, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.30763, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.139631, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 101785, "relative_activity": 0.520894, "balance": 6.139631, "dry_up": 0.782195, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.144157, "annualized_volatility": 0.484425, "from_high_reference": -0.332165, "from_low_reference": 0.399136 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.085, "fair_value_reference": 35.81218, "structural_low": 23.15, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.038486, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.014614, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.286669, "worst_return": -0.211765, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.223368, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.113468, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.298413, "worst_return": -0.219403, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.291445, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.164019, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.927835, "worst_return": -0.539906, "sufficient": false }, { 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"upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-01-26", "end": "2024-03-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.053047, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-29", "end": "2024-04-19", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.205063, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-04-26", "end": "2024-06-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.100197, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.066278, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.064652, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.26745, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.216864, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.004745, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.046959, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.186012, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 31.5, "volume": 299701, "typical_volume": 216698.5, "trend": 25.245, "fair_value": 19.951603, "relative_strength": 18.138537, "stage": 2, "regime": 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28.192333, "fair_value": 35.712949, "relative_strength": 43.905058, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.834427, "energy": 70.26965, "activity_lines": [ 37.462666, 35.068545, 32.050905, 30.255892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 34.380001, "volume": 69653, "typical_volume": 187863.65, "trend": 28.509667, "fair_value": 35.779167, "relative_strength": 30.846279, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.375808, "energy": 58.347306, "activity_lines": [ 37.076666, 35.266, 32.487571, 30.655097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 34.459999, "volume": 139952, "typical_volume": 194040.05, "trend": 28.829333, "fair_value": 35.813205, "relative_strength": 27.239595, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.272983, "energy": 50.242981, "activity_lines": [ 36.420666, 35.349272, 32.891667, 31.038989 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.389999, "volume": 101785, "typical_volume": 195404.4, "trend": 29.085, "fair_value": 35.81218, "relative_strength": 18.102852, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.869726, "energy": 27.831834, "activity_lines": [ 34.843999, 34.972545, 33.053286, 31.26871 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }