{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cc965b9a-f125-4348-9fd9-fdbb43801f78", "symbol": "4572", "name": "Drewloong Precision, Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 48.014, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 21.801, "architecture_energy": 10.016, "architecture_maturity": 30.978, "architecture_confidence": 68.437, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.94, "rotation_up": 29.96, "upward_expansion": 54.37, "deceleration": 81.94, "rotation_down": 26.92, "downward_expansion": 20.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 141.9, 142.362585, 141.971554, 141.519526 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 140.0, "trend_reference": 141.362966, "distance_from_trend": -0.009642, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 145.681041, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.038996, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -32.896028, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.008716, "excess_performance": -0.450088, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.009642, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009021, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.038996, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.004671, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.32896, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054181, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.008716, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.157059, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 94589, "relative_activity": 0.484408, "balance": 1.157059, "dry_up": 0.768337, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.046972, "annualized_volatility": 0.140052, "from_high_reference": -0.202604, "from_low_reference": 0.064172 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 141.362966, "fair_value_reference": 145.681041, "structural_low": 131.557631, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.012393, "positive_rate": 0.608696, "directional_follow_through": 0.608696, "median_excess_return": -0.012489, "regime_survival": 0.652174, "best_return": 0.04898, "worst_return": -0.078261, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.006601, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.030933, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.179402, "worst_return": -0.075362, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.01641, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.017443, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.542857, "worst_return": -0.105105, 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"typical_volume": 196823.0, "trend": 142.00151, "fair_value": 145.842959, "relative_strength": -29.447085, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.786859, "energy": 25.128021, "activity_lines": [ 143.357925, 142.426312, 141.562303, 141.434623 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 143.5, "volume": 188046, "typical_volume": 195552.75, "trend": 141.899799, "fair_value": 145.833872, "relative_strength": -30.873676, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.786701, "energy": 26.55208, "activity_lines": [ 143.734018, 142.752744, 141.822637, 141.5313 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 143.5, "volume": 205025, "typical_volume": 193481.0, "trend": 141.717477, "fair_value": 145.860912, "relative_strength": -29.081656, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 18.410555, "energy": 22.113788, "activity_lines": [ 143.862109, 143.002746, 142.065258, 141.634539 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 141.5, "volume": 112464, "typical_volume": 193876.35, "trend": 141.565222, "fair_value": 145.800298, "relative_strength": -30.794885, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.653859, "energy": 20.922711, "activity_lines": [ 142.978799, 142.795093, 142.097384, 141.620508 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 140.0, "volume": 94589, "typical_volume": 195267.3, "trend": 141.362966, "fair_value": 145.681041, "relative_strength": -32.896028, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.800916, "energy": 10.015507, "activity_lines": [ 141.9, 142.362585, 141.971554, 141.519526 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }