{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ccab13e5-ea4b-49fb-852f-fe35ca4c23dd", "symbol": "300893", "name": "Zhejiang Songyuan Automotive Safety Systems Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.29, "architecture_energy": 63.943, "architecture_maturity": 61.357, "architecture_confidence": 89.987, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.36, "rotation_up": 18.61, "upward_expansion": 11.8, "deceleration": 52.9, "rotation_down": 64.87, "downward_expansion": 85.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.701333, 16.230518, 18.29155, 19.514395 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 16.57, "trend_reference": 21.117094, "distance_from_trend": -0.215328, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 17.389448, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.047123, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.927566, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.330234, "excess_performance": -0.337634, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.215328, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100014, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.047123, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.432218, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.279276, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.151854, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.330234, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.625596, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15443163, "relative_activity": 1.334091, "balance": 0.625596, "dry_up": 1.138617, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106348, "annualized_volatility": 0.43551, "from_high_reference": -0.436395, "from_low_reference": 0.16608 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.117094, "fair_value_reference": 17.389448, "structural_low": 14.21, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.05808, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.384615, "median_excess_return": 0.019682, "regime_survival": 0.692308, "best_return": 0.434906, "worst_return": -0.189518, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.095443, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.053929, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 1.08711, "worst_return": -0.228846, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.27555, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.19582, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 1.694883, "worst_return": 0.003745, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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21.646761, "fair_value": 17.334624, "relative_strength": -35.646092, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.421226, "energy": 92.03926, "activity_lines": [ 15.422, 16.815516, 19.045768, 20.19759 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.84, "volume": 13100319, "typical_volume": 11428012.7, "trend": 21.352761, "fair_value": 17.356628, "relative_strength": -27.754352, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.710496, "energy": 81.612933, "activity_lines": [ 15.433333, 16.394827, 18.619754, 19.82296 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.57, "volume": 15443163, "typical_volume": 11575795.6, "trend": 21.117094, "fair_value": 17.389448, "relative_strength": -27.927566, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.290066, "energy": 63.942923, "activity_lines": [ 15.701333, 16.230518, 18.29155, 19.514395 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }