{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ccb30cde-8e81-449c-88d3-0dd8fc0d1635",
    "symbol": "GGME",
    "name": "INVESCO EXCHANGE TRADED FD TR NEXT GEN MEDIA AND GAMING ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 53.997,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 73.264,
    "architecture_energy": 46.953,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.262,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.185,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.83,
        "rotation_up": 51.8,
        "upward_expansion": 79.57,
        "deceleration": 60.2,
        "rotation_down": 25.18,
        "downward_expansion": 6.24
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        61.65956,
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        60.42483,
        58.803908
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 63.4783,
    "trend_reference": 57.089089,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.111916,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 50.678072,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.252579,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.569203,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.198762,
    "excess_performance": 0.073137,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111916,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00417,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.252579,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016244,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045692,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048685,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.198762,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.845668,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 46620,
      "relative_activity": 2.992307,
      "balance": 2.845668,
      "dry_up": 1.110514,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.03935,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.218827,
      "from_high_reference": -0.040824,
      "from_low_reference": 0.294824
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 50.678072,
      "structural_low": 49.024648,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.005575,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011779,
        "regime_survival": 0.708333,
        "best_return": 0.115721,
        "worst_return": -0.149143,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.444444,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.004872,
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        "worst_return": -0.14872,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.095763,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 49.834646,
        "relative_strength": -6.878075,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": -4.757162,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 15035.05,
        "trend": 56.871442,
        "fair_value": 50.171379,
        "relative_strength": -5.44693,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 57.562211,
        "energy": 42.425545,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 60.3363,
        "volume": 3581,
        "typical_volume": 14014.15,
        "trend": 56.880129,
        "fair_value": 50.330496,
        "relative_strength": -5.811323,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.372904,
        "energy": 43.652223,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 60.3525,
        "volume": 9056,
        "typical_volume": 13982.65,
        "trend": 56.908866,
        "fair_value": 50.49187,
        "relative_strength": -6.438473,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.23867,
        "energy": 39.675792,
        "activity_lines": [
          60.858127,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 63.4783,
        "volume": 46620,
        "typical_volume": 15579.95,
        "trend": 57.089089,
        "fair_value": 50.678072,
        "relative_strength": -4.569203,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 73.264043,
        "energy": 46.952551,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}