{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ccbb94e5-1c1d-4204-84fa-91dbca7eaf3a", "symbol": "688291", "name": "Beijing JCZ Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 62.224, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -30.099, "architecture_energy": 38.919, "architecture_maturity": 8.722, "architecture_confidence": 63.879, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.25, "rotation_up": 18.81, "upward_expansion": 13.29, "deceleration": 51.91, "rotation_down": 65.13, "downward_expansion": 47.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 40.052667, 44.493819, 46.494051, 46.178145 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 42.380001, "trend_reference": 46.267852, "distance_from_trend": -0.084029, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 28.869563, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.467982, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.039285, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.11139, "excess_performance": -0.068186, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.084029, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095027, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.467982, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.328478, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.030393, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.208614, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.11139, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.026234, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 11144122, "relative_activity": 0.964154, "balance": 1.026234, "dry_up": 1.218636, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.172868, "annualized_volatility": 0.70361, "from_high_reference": -0.305246, "from_low_reference": 0.49478 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46.267852, "fair_value_reference": 28.869563, "structural_low": 32.139999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, 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"stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.411428, "energy": 55.339942, "activity_lines": [ 52.83, 51.475502, 48.157521, 47.105749 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 56.349998, "volume": 3958211, "typical_volume": 10858798.3, "trend": 45.754893, "fair_value": 28.579056, "relative_strength": 34.980498, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.519573, "energy": 64.296709, "activity_lines": [ 54.604666, 52.645354, 49.096296, 47.831294 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 49.380001, "volume": 20501595, "typical_volume": 11098096.3, "trend": 46.273199, "fair_value": 28.685141, "relative_strength": 19.016906, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.563309, "energy": 51.802873, "activity_lines": [ 53.458, 52.296352, 49.311692, 48.065172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 39.0, "volume": 19303089, "typical_volume": 11290206.5, "trend": 46.396938, "fair_value": 28.735053, "relative_strength": -0.301473, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.765623, "energy": 9.001553, "activity_lines": [ 48.836667, 50.000182, 48.531859, 47.595933 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.290001, "volume": 14102316, "typical_volume": 11262478.4, "trend": 46.38251, "fair_value": 28.786642, "relative_strength": -5.960916, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -28.306869, "energy": 27.313279, "activity_lines": [ 44.096, 47.578546, 47.651993, 47.008389 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 37.41, "volume": 11792625, "typical_volume": 11322094.65, "trend": 46.276278, "fair_value": 28.810246, "relative_strength": -6.240336, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.497396, "energy": 38.048299, "activity_lines": [ 40.554667, 45.416727, 46.826819, 46.429517 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 42.380001, "volume": 11144122, "typical_volume": 11558443.25, "trend": 46.267852, "fair_value": 28.869563, "relative_strength": 3.039285, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -30.098609, "energy": 38.918907, "activity_lines": [ 40.052667, 44.493819, 46.494051, 46.178145 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }