{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ccbd779c-c5e2-4a05-8a47-92d28e9a79fe", "symbol": "3232", "name": "Sentronic International Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.815, "architecture_energy": 63.067, "architecture_maturity": 13.178, "architecture_confidence": 82.531, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.31, "rotation_up": 10.26, "upward_expansion": 13.43, "deceleration": 38.19, "rotation_down": 71.01, "downward_expansion": 89.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.43742, 20.093961, 20.812886, 21.123965 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 19.6, "trend_reference": 21.531893, "distance_from_trend": -0.089722, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 24.332721, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.1945, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -39.143113, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.096398, "excess_performance": -0.53777, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.089722, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039146, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.1945, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015874, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.391431, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.046201, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.096398, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.398238, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 120171, "relative_activity": 0.282017, "balance": 1.398238, "dry_up": 0.455966, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08924, "annualized_volatility": 0.228274, "from_high_reference": -0.27549, "from_low_reference": 0.069423 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 21.531893, "fair_value_reference": 24.332721, "structural_low": 18.327638, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": 0.015239, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.017455, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.170732, "worst_return": -0.141071, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.035116, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.3, "median_excess_return": -0.051056, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.202186, "worst_return": -0.110682, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.00425, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.056464, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.301255, "worst_return": -0.176669, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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20.693333, 21.308981, 21.454432, 21.629108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.863819, "volume": 353000, "typical_volume": 442708.8, "trend": 21.777069, "fair_value": 24.367866, "relative_strength": -39.799924, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.497341, "energy": 68.661448, "activity_lines": [ 20.007671, 20.788753, 21.195626, 21.430464 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 19.058794, "volume": 102000, "typical_volume": 427354.45, "trend": 21.632462, "fair_value": 24.348264, "relative_strength": -39.671055, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.662222, "energy": 70.496594, "activity_lines": [ 19.539732, 20.356263, 20.971637, 21.255092 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 19.6, "volume": 120171, "typical_volume": 426112.85, "trend": 21.531893, "fair_value": 24.332721, "relative_strength": -39.143113, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.814687, "energy": 63.067426, "activity_lines": [ 19.43742, 20.093961, 20.812886, 21.123965 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }