{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ccc5ee9e-4c83-443f-9978-b78fc2eef9a6",
    "symbol": "TCAP",
    "name": "Thanachart Capital Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 98.423,
    "architecture_energy": 89.818,
    "architecture_maturity": 44.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.366,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.17,
        "rotation_up": 91.27,
        "upward_expansion": 95.31,
        "deceleration": 43.3,
        "rotation_down": 8.15,
        "downward_expansion": 17.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        79.2,
        74.440909,
        68.206597,
        64.756563
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 87.5,
    "trend_reference": 61.072615,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.432721,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 47.734002,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.833075,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 34.249676,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.60264,
    "excess_performance": 0.410315,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.432721,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101079,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.833075,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.580107,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.342497,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.375966,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.60264,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 10.096346,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 48458600,
      "relative_activity": 3.915603,
      "balance": 10.096346,
      "dry_up": 2.597683,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.042637,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.266603,
      "from_high_reference": -0.011299,
      "from_low_reference": 0.875716
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 61.072615,
      "fair_value_reference": 47.734002,
      "structural_low": 51.711208,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 38,
        "median_return": 0.015624,
        "positive_rate": 0.736842,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.736842,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01303,
        "regime_survival": 0.815789,
        "best_return": 0.130435,
        "worst_return": -0.067308,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.692308,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.028322,
        "regime_survival": 0.538462,
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        "worst_return": -0.081218,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
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        "worst_return": -0.066819,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.050647,
        "sufficient": false
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        "return": -0.071429,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "end": "2025-01-31",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 9180725.0,
        "trend": 58.652615,
        "fair_value": 46.995817,
        "relative_strength": 9.977207,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.866893,
        "energy": 94.16091,
        "activity_lines": [
          70.033333,
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          62.725324,
          60.751928
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 74.25,
        "volume": 29239400,
        "typical_volume": 9673150.0,
        "trend": 59.267615,
        "fair_value": 47.206778,
        "relative_strength": 13.432675,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.321525,
        "energy": 95.898467,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.85,
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          64.105874,
          61.758211
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 78.25,
        "volume": 36792400,
        "typical_volume": 10663350.0,
        "trend": 60.007931,
        "fair_value": 47.444698,
        "relative_strength": 20.253865,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 93.207877,
        "energy": 93.841279,
        "activity_lines": [
          74.4,
          70.859091,
          65.773793,
          62.982881
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 87.5,
        "volume": 48458600,
        "typical_volume": 12375770.0,
        "trend": 61.072615,
        "fair_value": 47.734002,
        "relative_strength": 34.249676,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 98.423417,
        "energy": 89.818091,
        "activity_lines": [
          79.2,
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          68.206597,
          64.756563
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}