{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ccc677d0-5b34-40a9-9807-b39790094529", "symbol": "TGF", "name": "Tribeca Global Natural Resources Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 55.895, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.248, "architecture_energy": 55.063, "architecture_maturity": 4.056, "architecture_confidence": 73.578, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.89, "rotation_up": 13.61, "upward_expansion": 14.07, "deceleration": 35.86, "rotation_down": 66.62, "downward_expansion": 87.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.476, 2.521091, 2.59381, 2.610892 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.64, "trend_reference": 2.641862, "distance_from_trend": -0.000705, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 1.753184, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.505832, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 7.304121, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.029055, "excess_performance": -0.034651, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.000705, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.059134, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.505832, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071988, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.073041, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.233897, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.029055, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.66914, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 549602, "relative_activity": 1.398188, "balance": 0.66914, "dry_up": 1.022066, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06789, "annualized_volatility": 0.496854, "from_high_reference": -0.181148, "from_low_reference": 0.966691 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.641862, "fair_value_reference": 1.753184, "structural_low": 2.1, "invalidation": "A 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2.685273, 2.671993, 2.663404 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 2.53, "volume": 381429, "typical_volume": 487617.6, "trend": 2.629396, "fair_value": 1.733238, "relative_strength": 11.896964, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.702434, "energy": 17.577448, "activity_lines": [ 2.602, 2.657273, 2.658611, 2.657761 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.47, "volume": 176032, "typical_volume": 454974.3, "trend": 2.638992, "fair_value": 1.738254, "relative_strength": 8.381133, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -36.886629, "energy": 41.666236, "activity_lines": [ 2.550667, 2.618727, 2.640667, 2.647477 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.37, "volume": 473677, "typical_volume": 440177.55, "trend": 2.639685, "fair_value": 1.7426, "relative_strength": 3.498073, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.80813, "energy": 67.036464, "activity_lines": [ 2.478, 2.565091, 2.615619, 2.630123 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.34, "volume": 407710, "typical_volume": 433322.35, "trend": 2.638395, "fair_value": 1.746693, "relative_strength": -0.895652, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.908771, "energy": 74.814238, "activity_lines": [ 2.418, 2.512364, 2.589524, 2.610788 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.64, "volume": 549602, "typical_volume": 393081.5, "trend": 2.641862, "fair_value": 1.753184, "relative_strength": 7.304121, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.24778, "energy": 55.06327, "activity_lines": [ 2.476, 2.521091, 2.59381, 2.610892 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }