{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ccc7debe-a7d8-48c0-ac6d-a8b44c818471",
    "symbol": "WUTI",
    "name": "State Street SPDR MSCI World Utilities UCITS ETF USD Acc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3C \u00b7 Breakdown watch",
    "transition": "stage_3_to_4_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 \u2192 4 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -17.115,
    "architecture_energy": 9.063,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.523,
    "architecture_confidence": 66.509,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 59.92,
        "rotation_up": 30.12,
        "upward_expansion": 29.06,
        "deceleration": 54.44,
        "rotation_down": 38.37,
        "downward_expansion": 26.73
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        71.251999,
        71.521817,
        71.512238,
        71.603269
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 69.959999,
    "trend_reference": 71.317166,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.01903,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 57.242628,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.222166,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.040882,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.022508,
    "excess_performance": -0.028727,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01903,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.024593,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.222166,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072224,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060409,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.078239,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.022508,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.348498,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10394,
      "relative_activity": 1.649972,
      "balance": 0.348498,
      "dry_up": 0.822526,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.025745,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.17786,
      "from_high_reference": -0.064956,
      "from_low_reference": 0.141831
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 71.317166,
      "fair_value_reference": 57.242628,
      "structural_low": 68.379997,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.016954,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.00684,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.071627,
        "worst_return": -0.107718,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.003898,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008795,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.08348,
        "worst_return": -0.051044,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.023005,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03007,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.158358,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.005886,
        "sufficient": false
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-01-24",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 74.254997,
        "volume": 5308,
        "typical_volume": 16918.3,
        "trend": 69.053833,
        "fair_value": 55.017756,
        "relative_strength": 4.541814,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 44.08097,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 16347.1,
        "trend": 69.228166,
        "fair_value": 55.168846,
        "relative_strength": 1.782985,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 30.056975,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.781668,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 69.660004,
        "volume": 21165,
        "typical_volume": 17165.95,
        "trend": 69.3105,
        "fair_value": 55.318205,
        "relative_strength": -0.347669,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 23.37566,
        "energy": 13.065488,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 71.364998,
        "volume": 8306,
        "typical_volume": 16746.5,
        "trend": 69.474,
        "fair_value": 55.488077,
        "relative_strength": -0.556909,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 27.896555,
        "energy": 16.160651,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 6722,
        "typical_volume": 16535.7,
        "trend": 69.605333,
        "fair_value": 55.646314,
        "relative_strength": -1.415778,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "energy": 14.598683,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 70.230003,
        "volume": 471,
        "typical_volume": 16087.25,
        "trend": 69.735666,
        "fair_value": 55.799038,
        "relative_strength": -1.2021,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 4.994757,
        "energy": 16.198855,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 70.565002,
        "volume": 138,
        "typical_volume": 15551.6,
        "trend": 69.854333,
        "fair_value": 55.948942,
        "relative_strength": -1.685084,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 409,
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        "trend": 70.000667,
        "fair_value": 56.103013,
        "relative_strength": -0.956772,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 2.281598,
        "energy": 17.289903,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 72.434998,
        "volume": 425,
        "typical_volume": 9964.8,
        "trend": 70.158666,
        "fair_value": 56.271634,
        "relative_strength": 0.600225,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.596857,
        "energy": 14.637759,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.069332,
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          71.193849
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 72.610001,
        "volume": 479,
        "typical_volume": 8672.75,
        "trend": 70.381833,
        "fair_value": 56.441923,
        "relative_strength": -0.734393,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.919422,
        "energy": 20.879308,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.677999,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 71.660004,
        "volume": 11053,
        "typical_volume": 8840.3,
        "trend": 70.596166,
        "fair_value": 56.599038,
        "relative_strength": -0.341839,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.110973,
        "energy": 20.822945,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.819334,
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          71.434463
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 72.449997,
        "volume": 3136,
        "typical_volume": 6908.4,
        "trend": 70.814667,
        "fair_value": 56.756667,
        "relative_strength": -0.210319,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 41.841743,
        "energy": 29.123683,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.128666,
          71.574363,
          71.664976,
          71.554065
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 73.099998,
        "volume": 5579,
        "typical_volume": 6684.45,
        "trend": 71.061166,
        "fair_value": 56.921891,
        "relative_strength": -0.582539,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.65406,
        "energy": 43.470297,
        "activity_lines": [
          72.528999,
          71.925909,
          71.788548,
          71.701505
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 70.779999,
        "volume": 1617,
        "typical_volume": 6513.75,
        "trend": 71.2015,
        "fair_value": 57.084263,
        "relative_strength": -4.799513,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.938813,
        "energy": 17.841198,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.971999,
          71.79309,
          71.684571,
          71.683365
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 69.959999,
        "volume": 10394,
        "typical_volume": 6299.5,
        "trend": 71.317166,
        "fair_value": 57.242628,
        "relative_strength": -6.040882,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -17.115421,
        "energy": 9.06299,
        "activity_lines": [
          71.251999,
          71.521817,
          71.512238,
          71.603269
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}