{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cccafb96-da26-4ee2-9d57-c993dcfec8e9", "symbol": "002422", "name": "Sichuan Kelun Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.53, "architecture_energy": 48.261, "architecture_maturity": 50.208, "architecture_confidence": 85.115, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.95, "rotation_up": 65.0, "upward_expansion": 81.98, "deceleration": 62.96, "rotation_down": 15.99, "downward_expansion": 6.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 44.986666, 43.575272, 40.14958, 38.186929 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 45.439999, "trend_reference": 35.846393, "distance_from_trend": 0.267631, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.303776, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.451582, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 24.987592, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.488888, "excess_performance": 0.481488, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.267631, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.098942, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.451582, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.358142, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.249876, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.465312, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.488888, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.556009, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 154764087, "relative_activity": 1.377236, "balance": 1.556009, "dry_up": 2.004872, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.129351, "annualized_volatility": 0.531521, "from_high_reference": -0.139068, "from_low_reference": 0.637565 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 35.846393, "fair_value_reference": 31.303776, "structural_low": 28.714883, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": -0.029354, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.008558, "regime_survival": 0.619048, "best_return": 0.181185, "worst_return": -0.132244, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.068697, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.031537, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.208897, "worst_return": -0.160475, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.112374, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.02216, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.3612, "worst_return": -0.120814, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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43.459333, 40.531091, 37.71414, 36.178854 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 46.650002, "volume": 254529529, "typical_volume": 102239141.8, "trend": 34.810871, "fair_value": 31.072434, "relative_strength": 33.268011, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.715074, "energy": 80.148398, "activity_lines": [ 45.110667, 42.051636, 38.730005, 36.975789 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 43.439999, "volume": 196698161, "typical_volume": 108694855.85, "trend": 35.296449, "fair_value": 31.18019, "relative_strength": 25.787301, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.993257, "energy": 51.81464, "activity_lines": [ 44.976667, 42.710909, 39.371467, 37.532507 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 45.439999, "volume": 154764087, "typical_volume": 112372971.7, "trend": 35.846393, "fair_value": 31.303776, "relative_strength": 24.987592, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.529819, "energy": 48.260708, "activity_lines": [ 44.986666, 43.575272, 40.14958, 38.186929 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }