{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ccd4252d-ef43-43d9-84c6-558f8c2f43a4", "symbol": "AUID", "name": "authID Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -78.073, "architecture_energy": 85.347, "architecture_maturity": 58.0, "architecture_confidence": 75.466, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.05, "rotation_up": 8.48, "upward_expansion": 19.42, "deceleration": 37.02, "rotation_down": 78.81, "downward_expansion": 92.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.750673, 0.895002, 1.023548, 1.116828 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.6319, "trend_reference": 1.262767, "distance_from_trend": -0.499591, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.546879, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.88608, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -69.14955, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.645, "excess_performance": -0.832454, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.499591, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.082031, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.88608, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.100394, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.691496, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083967, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.645, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.853065, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 548069, "relative_activity": 0.379069, "balance": 1.853065, "dry_up": 0.637272, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.332488, "annualized_volatility": 0.752605, "from_high_reference": -0.865553, "from_low_reference": 0.148491 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.262767, "fair_value_reference": 5.546879, "structural_low": 0.5502, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.059183, "positive_rate": 0.305556, "directional_follow_through": 0.694444, "median_excess_return": -0.053815, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 1.003896, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.126322, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.226545, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 1.389706, "worst_return": -0.710611, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.182532, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.223004, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 2.869048, "worst_return": -0.8829, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.454771, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2026-02-20", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.716632, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-02-27", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.26506, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.473417, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 9.75, "volume": 38394, "typical_volume": 266810.4, "trend": 4.989513, "fair_value": 41.582671, "relative_strength": 2.016894, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", 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"2026-07-17", "close": 0.8977, "volume": 798443, "typical_volume": 1522315.3, "trend": 1.288867, "fair_value": 5.698054, "relative_strength": -58.988665, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.258823, "energy": 53.884887, "activity_lines": [ 1.064567, 1.113764, 1.157257, 1.229082 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.7484, "volume": 925907, "typical_volume": 1466038.1, "trend": 1.28238, "fair_value": 5.650479, "relative_strength": -64.022922, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.541943, "energy": 71.445594, "activity_lines": [ 0.95152, 1.041515, 1.113354, 1.194213 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.725, "volume": 1413130, "typical_volume": 1474465.7, "trend": 1.27398, "fair_value": 5.602563, "relative_strength": -64.087524, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.960632, "energy": 77.548303, "activity_lines": [ 0.854113, 0.972676, 1.070991, 1.158253 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.6319, "volume": 548069, "typical_volume": 1445830.1, "trend": 1.262767, "fair_value": 5.546879, "relative_strength": -69.14955, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.073039, "energy": 85.347495, "activity_lines": [ 0.750673, 0.895002, 1.023548, 1.116828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }