{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cce1f1a9-04ce-44b9-8d78-707347549951", "symbol": "ACT1", "name": "AlzChem Group AG", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-10-09", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 91.084, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -58.797, "architecture_energy": 47.244, "architecture_maturity": 9.609, "architecture_confidence": 93.081, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.82, "rotation_up": 19.75, "upward_expansion": 8.34, "deceleration": 44.34, "rotation_down": 57.08, "downward_expansion": 84.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 160.5, 161.345454, 164.526666, 166.688992 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 162.699997, "trend_reference": 168.347806, "distance_from_trend": -0.033548, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 148.185896, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.097945, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.646336, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.044001, "excess_performance": -0.169527, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.033548, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016394, "read": "Rising" 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156.300003, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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"regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-09-18", "close": 160.600006, "volume": 116, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-09-25", "close": 161.699997, "volume": 51, "typical_volume": 116.85, "trend": 168.336439, "fair_value": 147.903043, "relative_strength": -16.301226, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.978591, "energy": 48.984933, "activity_lines": [ 161.993333, 162.385454, 166.380476, 167.838797 ] }, { "date": "2026-10-02", "close": 156.300003, "volume": 324, "typical_volume": 124.7, "trend": 168.48554, "fair_value": 148.00671, "relative_strength": -15.94173, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.374121, "energy": 62.875417, "activity_lines": [ 159.833334, 161.096364, 165.12619, 167.062253 ] }, { "date": "2026-10-09", "close": 162.699997, "volume": 49, "typical_volume": 90.5, "trend": 168.347806, "fair_value": 148.185896, "relative_strength": -9.646336, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.796845, "energy": 47.243679, "activity_lines": [ 160.5, 161.345454, 164.526666, 166.688992 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }