{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cd0e7663-fc52-4c33-899c-f7e33a7a0105", "symbol": "BLRX", "name": "BioLineRx Ltd", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 59.147, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -18.379, "architecture_energy": 21.454, "architecture_maturity": 14.611, "architecture_confidence": 58.333, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.94, "rotation_up": 17.75, "upward_expansion": 16.63, "deceleration": 61.7, "rotation_down": 58.94, "downward_expansion": 41.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.812, 2.953, 3.002734, 2.932099 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 2.71, "trend_reference": 2.88644, "distance_from_trend": -0.061127, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.142431, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.865458, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -24.966967, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.090604, "excess_performance": -0.278058, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.061127, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.011642, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.865458, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.012538, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.24967, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021135, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.090604, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.479466, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 36005, "relative_activity": 0.190074, "balance": 3.479466, "dry_up": 0.244834, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.166832, "annualized_volatility": 0.602111, "from_high_reference": -0.405702, "from_low_reference": 0.260465 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.88644, "fair_value_reference": 20.142431, "structural_low": 2.15, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.059172, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.109166, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.242647, "worst_return": -0.22695, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.183245, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.237167, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.517279, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.438327, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.574011, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.283019, "worst_return": -0.874408, "sufficient": false }, { 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{ "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2023-09-15", "end": "2023-10-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.179487, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-10-20", "end": "2024-01-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-01-26", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.363103, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.377116, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.759487, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-11-07", 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"relative_strength": -19.242034, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.693444, "energy": 15.559915, "activity_lines": [ 3.080333, 3.171182, 3.031447, 2.953496 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.82, "volume": 62149, "typical_volume": 190321.0, "trend": 2.892773, "fair_value": 20.889033, "relative_strength": -19.169454, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.404266, "energy": 13.817963, "activity_lines": [ 2.980333, 3.101727, 3.026146, 2.948629 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.82, "volume": 43619, "typical_volume": 190130.95, "trend": 2.89344, "fair_value": 20.504546, "relative_strength": -18.717906, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.384458, "energy": 16.399266, "activity_lines": [ 2.903, 3.035182, 3.020035, 2.943934 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.71, "volume": 36005, "typical_volume": 189426.05, "trend": 2.88644, "fair_value": 20.142431, "relative_strength": -24.966967, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -18.378633, "energy": 21.45419, "activity_lines": [ 2.812, 2.953, 3.002734, 2.932099 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }