{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cd1117a1-ef5f-480f-ac71-66952917711a",
    "symbol": "8444",
    "name": "Green River Holding Co. Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -59.233,
    "architecture_energy": 39.692,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.977,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 36.2,
        "rotation_up": 23.5,
        "upward_expansion": 4.57,
        "deceleration": 52.28,
        "rotation_down": 47.79,
        "downward_expansion": 75.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.244,
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        5.587667,
        6.150194
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 5.01,
    "trend_reference": 7.123667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.29671,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 24.05357,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.791715,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -64.817408,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.496988,
    "excess_performance": -0.93836,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.29671,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.21459,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.791715,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.124246,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.648174,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.118023,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.496988,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.226709,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 76735,
      "relative_activity": 0.417621,
      "balance": 0.226709,
      "dry_up": 0.247295,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.216029,
      "annualized_volatility": 1.12622,
      "from_high_reference": -0.701786,
      "from_low_reference": 0.149083
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.123667,
      "fair_value_reference": 24.05357,
      "structural_low": 4.36,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 39,
        "median_return": -0.031429,
        "positive_rate": 0.358974,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.641026,
        "median_excess_return": -0.03754,
        "regime_survival": 0.923077,
        "best_return": 0.230077,
        "worst_return": -0.319905,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.210995,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.147914,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.23212,
        "worst_return": -0.4518,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
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        "worst_return": -0.589565,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
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        "best_return": 0.004054,
        "worst_return": -0.642857,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -61.498489,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 13000,
        "typical_volume": 239621.6,
        "trend": 7.770333,
        "fair_value": 24.673722,
        "relative_strength": -65.817826,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.129287,
        "energy": 34.85871,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.496,
          5.429273,
          5.869667,
          6.59043
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.44,
        "volume": 30000,
        "typical_volume": 236267.75,
        "trend": 7.533333,
        "fair_value": 24.459603,
        "relative_strength": -61.760931,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -51.352034,
        "energy": 33.743558,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.417333,
          5.422364,
          5.776952,
          6.440086
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.35,
        "volume": 62020,
        "typical_volume": 184418.75,
        "trend": 7.32,
        "fair_value": 24.253207,
        "relative_strength": -62.214324,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.600217,
        "energy": 33.54688,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.385333,
          5.421455,
          5.690762,
          6.299226
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 5.01,
        "volume": 76735,
        "typical_volume": 183743.0,
        "trend": 7.123667,
        "fair_value": 24.05357,
        "relative_strength": -64.817408,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.232866,
        "energy": 39.691792,
        "activity_lines": [
          5.244,
          5.361636,
          5.587667,
          6.150194
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}