{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cd1f0742-8bde-4065-ad22-102f81330c0c", "symbol": "002534", "name": "Xizi Clean Energy Equipment Manufacturing Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 61.968, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.054, "architecture_energy": 73.552, "architecture_maturity": 13.551, "architecture_confidence": 76.233, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.29, "rotation_up": 8.32, "upward_expansion": 16.13, "deceleration": 37.14, "rotation_down": 77.21, "downward_expansion": 91.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.641334, 16.033273, 17.195906, 17.507439 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 16.110001, "trend_reference": 17.788992, "distance_from_trend": -0.094384, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.202967, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.22018, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -7.836909, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.050276, "excess_performance": -0.057676, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.094384, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.014277, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.22018, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1403, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.078369, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.029912, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.050276, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.126144, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 108832927, "relative_activity": 1.608098, "balance": 1.126144, "dry_up": 1.525731, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.149281, "annualized_volatility": 0.621366, "from_high_reference": -0.277209, "from_low_reference": 0.348117 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.788992, "fair_value_reference": 13.202967, "structural_low": 11.95, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.023424, "positive_rate": 0.681818, "directional_follow_through": 0.318182, "median_excess_return": 0.01108, "regime_survival": 0.772727, "best_return": 0.246823, "worst_return": -0.290008, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.09116, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.004763, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.440748, "worst_return": -0.254545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.132082, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.080499, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.38754, "worst_return": -0.311888, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"typical_volume": 68600526.15, "trend": 18.092524, "fair_value": 13.213697, "relative_strength": -13.726189, "stage": 4, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.574748, "energy": 35.032864, "activity_lines": [ 17.06, 18.231358, 18.272619, 18.249272 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.38, "volume": 89071306, "typical_volume": 67262288.05, "trend": 17.93744, "fair_value": 13.196833, "relative_strength": -26.578168, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.464174, "energy": 74.257994, "activity_lines": [ 15.144667, 17.099383, 17.717437, 17.880722 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.85, "volume": 103479356, "typical_volume": 65693688.75, "trend": 17.808461, "fair_value": 13.189517, "relative_strength": -16.534877, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.658862, "energy": 79.68181, "activity_lines": [ 14.341333, 16.319091, 17.337209, 17.617017 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.110001, "volume": 108832927, "typical_volume": 67678056.9, "trend": 17.788992, "fair_value": 13.202967, "relative_strength": -7.836909, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.054225, "energy": 73.551587, "activity_lines": [ 14.641334, 16.033273, 17.195906, 17.507439 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }