{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cd30370d-e231-405f-8cd1-30610bae376f", "symbol": "M7T", "name": "Mach7 Technologies Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.266, "architecture_energy": 30.832, "architecture_maturity": 50.299, "architecture_confidence": 84.276, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.93, "rotation_up": 17.79, "upward_expansion": 1.61, "deceleration": 55.14, "rotation_down": 53.14, "downward_expansion": 74.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.294, 0.297818, 0.299857, 0.302634 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.285, "trend_reference": 0.322833, "distance_from_trend": -0.117192, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.483365, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.410384, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -23.205995, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.208333, "excess_performance": -0.272039, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.117192, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.164005, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.410384, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057985, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.23206, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020189, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.208333, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.633024, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 529883, "relative_activity": 0.770705, "balance": 1.633024, "dry_up": 0.664615, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102564, "annualized_volatility": 0.448542, "from_high_reference": -0.583942, "from_low_reference": 0.163265 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.322833, "fair_value_reference": 0.483365, "structural_low": 0.245, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 39, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.487179, "directional_follow_through": 0.487179, "median_excess_return": 0.006706, "regime_survival": 0.820513, "best_return": 0.655738, "worst_return": -0.320388, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.000967, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.023344, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 1.0, "worst_return": -0.357143, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.027778, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.039035, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.045455, "worst_return": -0.462687, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 744021.85, "trend": 0.354667, "fair_value": 0.494071, "relative_strength": -14.990991, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.562821, "energy": 22.798107, "activity_lines": [ 0.303667, 0.306636, 0.301357, 0.312957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.295, "volume": 378094, "typical_volume": 722643.6, "trend": 0.3465, "fair_value": 0.48984, "relative_strength": -16.946072, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.271518, "energy": 22.874389, "activity_lines": [ 0.300667, 0.304182, 0.301119, 0.309108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.295, "volume": 438651, "typical_volume": 707415.8, "trend": 0.333833, "fair_value": 0.486571, "relative_strength": -18.456528, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.278656, "energy": 21.497129, "activity_lines": [ 0.299, 0.301636, 0.300976, 0.305785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.285, "volume": 529883, "typical_volume": 687530.4, "trend": 0.322833, "fair_value": 0.483365, "relative_strength": -23.205995, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.265918, "energy": 30.831676, "activity_lines": [ 0.294, 0.297818, 0.299857, 0.302634 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }