{ "ticker": { "uuid": "cd3672fa-172b-4478-83e3-9ef2dee5c9eb", "symbol": "BLAL", "name": "BEML Land Assets Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.763, "architecture_energy": 59.753, "architecture_maturity": 7.526, "architecture_confidence": 77.856, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.19, "rotation_up": 10.14, "upward_expansion": 21.51, "deceleration": 40.62, "rotation_down": 71.43, "downward_expansion": 82.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 174.716001, 178.977819, 182.780525, 182.647828 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 171.410004, "trend_reference": 184.127666, "distance_from_trend": -0.06907, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 216.086859, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.206754, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.322287, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.092877, "excess_performance": -0.049168, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.06907, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.041255, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.206754, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.175187, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.113223, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.176535, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.092877, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.176994, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 71052, "relative_activity": 0.66239, "balance": 0.176994, "dry_up": 0.691472, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063213, "annualized_volatility": 0.309129, "from_high_reference": -0.266852, "from_low_reference": 0.102315 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 184.127666, "fair_value_reference": 216.086859, "structural_low": 155.5, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.014653, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.005243, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.185222, "worst_return": -0.144768, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.024151, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.013088, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.058177, "worst_return": -0.157481, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.058353, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.049082, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.023957, "worst_return": -0.108467, 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"volume": 71052, "typical_volume": 107266.1, "trend": 184.127666, "fair_value": 216.086859, "relative_strength": -11.322287, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.763259, "energy": 59.752981, "activity_lines": [ 174.716001, 178.977819, 182.780525, 182.647828 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }