{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "cd36f893-4c65-42a2-9f24-7004aeee0aba",
    "symbol": "THG",
    "name": "Thonburi Healthcare Group Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 84.625,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -43.046,
    "architecture_energy": 31.285,
    "architecture_maturity": 59.359,
    "architecture_confidence": 83.174,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.99,
        "rotation_up": 26.34,
        "upward_expansion": 15.98,
        "deceleration": 45.81,
        "rotation_down": 34.99,
        "downward_expansion": 63.65
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.533333,
        7.507273,
        7.651667,
        7.86267
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 7.7,
    "trend_reference": 8.142345,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.054327,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 23.248434,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.668795,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -16.645506,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.100032,
    "excess_performance": -0.292357,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.054327,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.028873,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.668795,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.050541,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.166455,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.008406,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.100032,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.099769,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14743700,
      "relative_activity": 2.819869,
      "balance": 1.099769,
      "dry_up": 1.569636,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.045954,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.261097,
      "from_high_reference": -0.209119,
      "from_low_reference": 0.273126
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 8.142345,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.248434,
      "structural_low": 7.15,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 32,
        "median_return": -0.05234,
        "positive_rate": 0.21875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.78125,
        "median_excess_return": -0.046641,
        "regime_survival": 0.96875,
        "best_return": 0.226415,
        "worst_return": -0.330143,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.192611,
        "positive_rate": 0.1,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.9,
        "median_excess_return": -0.172525,
        "regime_survival": 0.9,
        "best_return": 0.076923,
        "worst_return": -0.34589,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.383562,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": -0.282444,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.449057,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.60228,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
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        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": -0.163926,
        "worst_return": -0.660377,
        "sufficient": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2022-07-29",
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        "return": 0.074689,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2023-07-21",
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        "return": -0.003831,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-07-28",
        "end": "2025-10-31",
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        "active": false
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -21.89223,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 10815900,
        "typical_volume": 5244750.0,
        "trend": 8.239708,
        "fair_value": 24.357749,
        "relative_strength": -22.068523,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.657442,
        "energy": 46.025094,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.49,
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          7.776956,
          7.99685
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 7.4,
        "volume": 4553500,
        "typical_volume": 4766040.0,
        "trend": 8.211014,
        "fair_value": 23.985148,
        "relative_strength": -22.623676,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.090704,
        "energy": 41.857966,
        "activity_lines": [
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          7.72,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.45,
        "volume": 2714300,
        "typical_volume": 4637410.0,
        "trend": 8.179069,
        "fair_value": 23.612866,
        "relative_strength": -20.570493,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.156655,
        "energy": 42.065802,
        "activity_lines": [
          7.47,
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          7.671905,
          7.893578
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.7,
        "volume": 14743700,
        "typical_volume": 5228505.0,
        "trend": 8.142345,
        "fair_value": 23.248434,
        "relative_strength": -16.645506,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -43.046006,
        "energy": 31.285036,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}